Technical Basis Document No. 11: Saturated Zone Flow and Transport Revision 2 By: Robert W. Andrews and Al A. Eddebbarh With Contributions By: Roger J. Henning, Scott C. James, August C. Matthusen, Arend Meijer, Hari Viswanathan, Timothy J. Vogt, Jim L. Boone, Thomas C. Booth, Mei Ding, Paul R. Dixon, Ernest L. Hardin, Charles Haukwa, Edward M. Kwicklis, Terry A. Miller, Paul W. Reimus, Richard W. Spengler, and Patrick Tucci Prepared for: U.S. Department of Energy Office of Civilian Radioactive Waste Management Office of Repository Development P.O. Box 364629 North Las Vegas, Nevada 89036-8629 Prepared by: Bechtel SAIC Company, LLC 1180 Town Center Drive Las Vegas, Nevada 89144 Under Contract Number DE-AC28-01RW12101 QA: NA September 2003 1. INTRODUCTION This technical basis document provides a summary of the conceptual understanding of the flow of groundwater and the transport of radionuclides that may be potentially released to the saturated zone beneath and downgradient from Yucca Mountain. This document is one in a series of technical basis documents prepared for each component of the Yucca Mountain repository system important for predicting the likely postclosure performance of the repository. The relationship of saturated zone flow and transport to the other components is illustrated in Figure 1-1. Figure 1-1. Components of the Postclosure Technical Basis for the License Application This document and the associated references form an outline of the ongoing development of the postclosure safety analysis that will comprise the License Application. This information is also used to respond to open Key Technical Issue (KTI) agreements made between the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) and the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE). Placing the DOE responses to individual KTI agreements and NRC additional information needed (AIN) requests within the context of the overall saturated zone flow and transport process, as they relate to postclosure safety analyses, allows for a more direct discussion of the relevance of the agreement. September 2003 1-1 No. 11: Saturated Zone Revision 2 Appendices to this document are designed to allow for a transparent and direct response to each KTI agreement and AIN requests. Each appendix addresses one or more of the agreements. If agreements apply to similar aspects of the saturated zone subsystem, they were grouped in a single appendix. In some cases, appendices provide detailed discussions of data, analyses, or information related to the further conceptual understanding presented in this technical basis document. In these cases, the appendices are referenced from the appropriate section of the technical basis document. In other cases, the appendices provide information that is related to the technical basis document information but at a level of detail that relates more to the uncertainty in a particular data set or feature, event, or process that is less relevant to the overall technical basis. In these cases, the appendices reference the relevant section of the technical basis document to put the particular KTI agreement into context. This technical basis document and appendices are responsive to agreements made between the DOE and the NRC during Technical Exchange and Management Meetings on Radionuclide Transport (RT) (Reamer and Williams 2000a), Total System Performance Assessment and Integration (TSPAI) (Reamer 2001), and Unsaturated and Saturated Flow Under Isothermal Conditions (USFIC) (Reamer and Williams 2000b), and to AIN requests from the NRC to the DOE dated August 16, 2002 (Schlueter 2002a), August 30, 2002 (Schlueter 2002b), December 19, 2002 (Schlueter 2002c), and February 5, 2003 (Schlueter 2003). Most of the agreements were based on questions that NRC staff developed from their review of the site recommendation support documents and DOE presentations at the technical exchanges. In general, the agreements required the DOE to present additional information, conduct further testing, perform sensitivity or validation exercises for models, or provide justification for assumptions used in the Yucca Mountain Site Suitability Evaluation (DOE 2002). After those technical exchanges, the DOE has conducted the additional analysis and testing necessary to meet the agreements. The appendices present the additional information that forms the technical basis for addressing the intent of the KTI agreements. This technical basis document provides a summary-level synthesis of many relevant aspects of the saturated zone flow and transport modeling that is being completed to support development of the Yucca Mountain License Application. This includes a summary and synthesis of the detailed technical information presented in the analysis model reports and other technical products that are used as the basis for the description of the saturated zone barrier and the incorporation of this barrier into the postclosure performance assessment. Several analyses, model reports, and other technical products support this summary: • A Three-Dimensional Numerical Model of Predevelopment Conditions in the Death Valley Regional Ground-Water Flow System, Nevada and California (D’Agnese et al. 2002) • Water-Level Data Analysis for the Saturated Zone Site-Scale Flow and Transport Model (USGS 2001a) • Site-Scale Saturated Zone Transport (BSC 2003a) • Saturated Zone Colloid Transport (BSC 2003b) September 2003 1-2 No. 11: Saturated Zone Revision 2 • Site-Scale Saturated Zone Flow Model (BSC 2003c) • SZ Flow and Transport Abstraction (BSC 2003d) • Saturated Zone In-Situ Testing (BSC 2003e). • Geochemical and Isotopic Constraints on Groundwater Flow Directions and Magnitudes, Mixing, and Recharge at Yucca Mountain (BSC 2003f) • Features, Events, and Processes in SZ Flow and Transport (BSC 2003g). The basic approach of this document is to provide a comprehensive summary of the saturated zone flow and transport understanding, the details of which are presented in the supporting analyses, reports, and related products. 1.1 OBJECTIVE AND SCOPE The objectives of this technical basis document are to: • Describe the processes relevant to the performance of the saturated zone flow and transport component of the postclosure performance assessment • Present data, analyses, and models used to project the behavior of the saturated zone flow and transport processes • Summarize the development of the site-scale saturated zone flow and transport models and key subprocess models that are used to analyze data from the saturated zone • Summarize the results of the flow and transport models used in the assessment of postclosure performance at Yucca Mountain. The purpose of the site-scale saturated zone flow and transport model is to describe the spatial and temporal distribution of groundwater as it moves from the water table below the repository, through the saturated zone, and to the point of uptake by a potential downgradient receptor. The saturated zone processes that control the movement of groundwater and the movement of dissolved radionuclides and colloidal particles that might be present, and the processes that reduce radionuclide concentrations in the saturated zone, are described in this document. The evaluation of the saturated zone in the Yucca Mountain area considers the possibility of radionuclide transport from their introduction at the water table beneath the repository to a hypothetical well located at the compliance boundary downgradient from the site. The likely pathway for radionuclides potentially released from the repository to reach the accessible environment is through groundwater aquifers below the repository. These aquifers, collectively referred to as the saturated zone, delay the transport of radionuclides released to the saturated zone and reduce the concentration of radionuclides before they reach the accessible environment. A simplified conceptualization of the saturated zone flow and transport for Yucca Mountain and its relationship to transport in the unsaturated zone and biosphere is provided in Figure 1-2. Radionuclides released into seepage water contacting breached waste packages in the repository September 2003 1-3 No. 11: Saturated Zone Revision 2 would migrate downward through the unsaturated zone for approximately 210 to 390 m to the water table. At that point, radionuclides would enter the saturated zone and migrate downgradient within the tuff and alluvial aquifers to the accessible environment. At a distance of 15 to 22 km along the flow path from the repository, groundwater flow enters the alluvial aquifer and remains in the alluvium for an additional 1 to 10 km until it is subject to uptake into the accessible environment. Figure 1-2. Conceptual Representation of Radionuclide Transport Pathways from the Repository to the Biosphere 1.2 DESCRIPTION OF PROCESSES AFFECTING THE PERFORMANCE OF THE SATURATED ZONE The saturated zone is a barrier to the migration of dissolved and colloidal radionuclides that may be released from the repository. This barrier delays the transport of radionuclides and increases the time until they are potentially withdrawn from a well used by a hypothetical person (the reasonably maximally exposed individual). Radionuclides that enter the saturated zone are expected to do so over a spatial and temporal scale that depends on the degradation modes and degradation rates of the engineered barriers and the transport processes from the degraded engineered barriers, through the unsaturated zone, to the saturated zone. For example, it is possible that the engineered barriers will fail over a broad temporal scale (ranging from thousands to hundreds of thousands of years) due to natural degradation processes, or they may fail over a relatively short time due to a low probability disruptive event (e.g., a large seismic or volcanic event). The spatial scale over which radionuclides enter the saturated zone may be confined to an area on the order of 100 m2 for each degraded waste package (for cases where the flow is predominantly vertical through the unsaturated zone), concentrated at locations where most of the unsaturated groundwater flow intersects the water table, or dispersed over a large fraction of the repository footprint (i.e., several square kilometers). The timing and spatial extent of radionuclides that enter the saturated zone and reach the accessible environment are considered in the performance assessment using a range of spatial locations, a range of transport times within the saturated zone, and a range of No. 11: Saturated Zone September 2003 1-4 Revision 2 times when radionuclides are predicted to reach the saturated zone, as described in the SZ Flow and Transport Abstraction (BSC 2003d). The processes that affect the performance of the saturated zone barrier include both groundwater flow and radionuclide transport processes. The groundwater flow processes determine the rate of water movement within the saturated zone and the flow paths through which the water is likely to travel. These flow paths extend from where the radionuclides may possibly enter the saturated zone to where they exit at the point of compliance. These flow paths define the different geologic materials through which potentially released radionuclides are likely to be transported. Radionuclide transport processes include those that determine the advective velocity of dissolved radionuclides within the saturated fractures or pores of the geologic media and processes that relate to interactions between the dissolved or colloidal radionuclides and the rock or alluvium materials with which they come in contact. Advective transport is determined by the rate of groundwater flow and the effective porosity of the media through which the flow occurs. Lower effective porosities yield higher groundwater velocities and shorter transport times. Dispersive processes are affected by small scale velocity heterogeneity that allows some dissolved constituents to travel faster or slower than the average advective transport time. Dispersive processes also spread the radionuclide mass concentration, although the reduced concentration is not important for postclosure performance because of the mixing that occurs when the radionuclide mass flux is mixed with the annual water demand of 3.7 million m3 (3,000 acre-feet). Dissolved radionuclides diffuse from fractures in the volcanic tuff (in which they are advectively transported) into the matrix, which has little advective flux and tends to slow the transport time of these species. The effectiveness of this process depends on the diffusive properties of the matrix and the degree of spacing between the flowing fracture zones. Larger diffusion coefficients or smaller spacings between flowing fracture zones result in slower transport times within the fractured rock. Many radionuclides potentially important to repository performance are sorbed within the matrix of the rock mass. Although these radionuclides may be sorbed on fracture surfaces, this retardation mechanism has not been considered in the performance assessment. The degree of sorption depends on the individual radionuclide. Some radionuclides (e.g., technetium, iodine and carbon) are not sorbed, and are transported considering only advection, dispersion, and matrix diffusion processes. Other radionuclides (e.g., neptunium, uranium, and plutonium) are sorbed in the matrix or pores of the fractured tuffs and alluvium. The stronger the sorption, the longer the radionuclide transport time compared with advective-dispersive transport times. These saturated zone flow and transport processes are represented by conceptual and numerical models to predict the expected behavior of the saturated zone barrier as it relates to performance of the Yucca Mountain repository. These include regional and site-scale models of groundwater flow and models of radionuclide transport. The bases of these models are derived from sitespecific in situ observations, field tests, and laboratory tests to determine relevant parameter values. This technical basis document presents a summary of the bases for the models and parameters, plus a discussion of the uncertainty associated with the models, the parameters, and the predicted results (i.e., radionuclide transport times) relevant to postclosure performance. September 2003 1-5 No. 11: Saturated Zone Revision 2 1.3 SUMMARY OF CURRENT UNDERSTANDING An understanding of saturated zone flow and transport in the vicinity of Yucca Mountain has been gained through the collection of regional and site data and through the incorporation of these data into models that describe processes affecting the behavior of the saturated zone barrier. Hydrogeologic data have been collected from boreholes that penetrate the saturated zone and from nonintrusive field investigations (i.e., geophysical surveys). These data were used to develop a scientific understanding of the subsurface hydrogeology and to assemble the database necessary to evaluate the expected performance characteristics of the saturated zone. In general, the rate and direction of groundwater flow within the saturated zone is controlled by the spatial configuration of the potentiometric surface, plus the hydrologic properties and characteristics of the materials that constitute the saturated zone. Based on the potentiometric surface in the Yucca Mountain area, groundwater within the saturated zone beneath the repository is inferred to move from upland areas of recharge (located north of Yucca Mountain) towards areas of natural discharge (springs and playas south of Yucca Mountain). This flow direction is supported by hydrochemistry and isotopic data. Groundwater flow in the saturated zone below and directly downgradient from the repository occurs in fractured, porous volcanic tuffs relatively close to the water table and in fractured carbonate rocks of Paleozoic age (limestones and dolomites) at much greater depths. At distances of about 15 to 18 km downgradient from the repository, where the volcanic rocks thin out beneath valley fill materials, the water table transitions from volcanic rocks to valley-fill (alluvial) material. The most likely pathway for radionuclides to reach the accessible environment is through the uppermost groundwater aquifers below the repository. These aquifers (i.e., the saturated zone) delay the transport of radionuclides and reduce the radionuclide concentration before they reach the accessible environment. Delay in the release of radionuclides to the accessible environment allows radioactive decay to further diminish the mass of radionuclides that are ultimately released. Dilution of radionuclide concentrations in the groundwater used by the potential receptor occurs during transport and in the process of extracting more groundwater from wells than water containing radionuclides released from the repository. The key processes that affect the performance of the saturated zone barrier are summarized in the following text. To determine the characteristics of the saturated zone, flow and transport processes need to be considered. Pertinent data for characterizing groundwater flow in the saturated zone includes measurements of water levels in boreholes and wells (which define the configuration of the water table and potentiometric surface) and hydraulic testing to determine hydraulic properties (e.g., hydraulic conductivity, permeability, and storage coefficient) of the rock and alluvial materials. Data on hydraulic properties have been obtained from more than 150 hydraulic tests conducted in boreholes and wells in the Yucca Mountain area. These hydraulic tests include constant-discharge pumping tests, slug injection (falling head) tests, pressure injection tests, and fluid logging techniques (e.g., temperature measurement and tracer injection surveys). Multiple-well pumping and tracer tests have been conducted in the three C-Wells, a complex of boreholes located about 3 km east of the repository. Multiple-well hydraulic tests and September 2003 1-6 No. 11: Saturated Zone Revision 2 single-well hydraulic and tracer tests have been conducted in cooperation with Nye County at the Alluvial Testing Complex, a complex of wells located near U.S. Highway 95. Hydrochemical data (e.g., chloride and sulfate concentrations) and isotopic data (e.g., 234U/238U ratios, and strontium, oxygen, deuterium, and carbon isotope ratios) also have been collected from a number of boreholes and wells. These data were used to independently define likely groundwater flow paths from the repository area. Processes important to the transport of radionuclides in the saturated zone include advection, sorption, diffusion (especially matrix diffusion), hydrodynamic dispersion, decay and ingrowth, and colloid transport. These characteristics have been evaluated through a range of in situ tests (such as at the C-Wells and Alluvial Testing complexes) and laboratory tests. In situ tests generally are used to evaluate properties such as effective porosity and longitudinal dispersivity, while laboratory tests are used to evaluate sorption characteristics. Sorption coefficients (Kds) have been measured in the laboratory for a number of important radionuclides based on crushedrock and alluvium samples using batch and column tests that used borehole core samples from selected saturated zone rock units at Yucca Mountain. Estimates of Kds have been developed for various radionuclides (e.g., americium, thorium, uranium, protactinium, neptunium, and plutonium). Estimates of colloid filtration in saturated, fractured volcanic rocks have been obtained from tracer tests conducted at the C-Wells complex using polystyrene microspheres as surrogate colloids. Physical data applicable to the attachment, detachment, and transport of radionuclides on natural colloidal substrates (e.g., silica and clay minerals) have been obtained for selected radionuclides (e.g., 239Pu and 243Am) through laboratory experiments and testing. Analyses conducted using the saturated zone transport model indicate that the saturated zone is a barrier to the transport of radionuclides released from the repository to the accessible environment within the 10,000-year period of regulatory concern. The saturated zone is expected to delay the transport of sorbing radionuclides and radionuclides associated with colloids for many thousands of years, even under wetter climatic conditions in the future. Nonsorbing radionuclides are expected to be delayed for hundreds of years during transport in the saturated zone. 1.4 ORGANIZATION OF THIS REPORT The report is organized as: Section 1. Introduction–Objectives and scope of this document and a discussion of the saturated zone as a barrier. Section 2. Saturated Zone Flow–Descriptions of regional and site-scale field and laboratory testing, data collection activities, and modeling of groundwater flow processes. Section 3. Saturated Zone Radionuclide Transport–Site-scale field and laboratory testing, data collection activities, and modeling of radionuclide transport processes. September 2003 1-7 No. 11: Saturated Zone Revision 2 Section 4. Summary–Results of the saturated zone flow and transport processes as they relate to postclosure performance projections of the repository. Section 5. References–Sources of information used in this document. Appendices–Thirteen appendices (Table 1-1) address specific KTI agreement items and AIN requests. Appendix A 14C Residence Time B C D E F G Uncertainty in Flow Path Lengths in Tuff and Alluvium Transport Properties H I J K L Hydrochemistry M Table 1-1. List of Appendices and the KTI Agreements that are Addressed Appendix Title The Hydrogeologic Framework Model/Geologic Framework Model Interface Hydrostratigraphic Cross Sections Potentiometric Surface and Vertical Gradients Regional Model and Confidence Building Horizontal Anisotropy Key Technical Issues Addressed USFIC 5.10 RT 2.09 AIN-1 AND USFIC 5.05 AIN-1 USFIC 5.08 AIN-1 USFIC 5.02, USFIC 5.12, AND USFIC 5.11 AIN-1 USFIC 5.01 USFIC 5.06 RT 2.08, RT 3.08, and USFIC 5.04 RT 1.05, RT 2.01, RT 2.10, GEN 1.01 (#28 and #34), AND RT 2.03 AIN-1 RT 2.02, TSPAI 3.32 and TSPAI 4.02. RT 1.04. RT 2.06, RT 2.07, and GEN 1.01 (#41 and #102) TSPAI 3.31 RT 3.08 AIN-1 and GEN 1.01 (#43 and #45) September 2003 Transport—Spatial Variability of Parameters Determination of Whether Kinetic Effects Should be Included in the Transport Model Transport—Kds in Alluvium Transport—Temporal Changes in 1-8 Microspheres as Analogs 1.5 NOTE REGARDING THE STATUS OF SUPPORTING TECHNICAL INFORMATION This document was prepared using the most current information available. This technical basis document and the appendices provide KTI agreement responses (Table 1-1) that were prepared using preliminary or draft information reflecting the status of the Yucca Mountain Project scientific and design bases at the time of submittal. In some cases, this involved using draft analysis, model reports, and other references, the contents of which may change with time. Information that changes through revisions of the reports and references will be reflected in the License Application as the approved analyses of record at the time of License Application submittal. Consequently, this technical basis document and the KTI agreement appendices will not routinely be updated to reflect changes in the supporting references prior to submittal of the License Application. No. 11: Saturated Zone Revision 2 2. SATURATED ZONE GROUNDWATER FLOW 2.1 INTRODUCTION The following sections summarize the understanding of saturated zone flow processes, models, and parameters. This understanding is important to describing the likely groundwater flow paths and flow rates, as well as the geologic units through which groundwater is likely to flow in the vicinity of Yucca Mountain. This summary includes discussions of the regional and site-scale geologic setting, hydrogeologic setting, hydrogeochemistry, and groundwater flow modeling. The hydrogeologic setting in the Death Valley region in general, and in the vicinity of Yucca Mountain in particular, has been the focus of data collection, interpretation, and analysis over the last several decades. This focus has, in part, been due to Federal government interest in understanding the groundwater flow system at the Nevada Test Site and in the region around Death Valley National Park, as well as State of Nevada and Nye County interest in understanding the available groundwater resources in the area. Early work by Maxey and Eakin (1950) provided a quantitative basis for estimating groundwater recharge as a function of precipitation in the arid southwest, and Winograd and Thordarson (1975) established the likely groundwater flow paths controlling the discharge of groundwater to springs in and around Death Valley. Since these early investigations, studies of groundwater flow in the Death Valley region have benefited from additional geologic and hydrologic characterization conducted via drilling and testing at numerous boreholes and wells in the area. A general understanding of regional-scale groundwater flow is important for understanding the Yucca Mountain groundwater flow system because the regional-scale system sets the context for the site-scale system. An important aspect of the regional hydrogeologic system is that it occurs in an enclosed basin without any surface or subsurface discharge to the ocean (i.e., all water that naturally leaves the region does so exclusively through evaporation or evapotranspiration). This regional basin, which includes natural discharge at springs in the Death Valley area, is referred to as the Death Valley regional flow system. The site-scale conceptual model is a synthesis of what is known about flow and transport processes at the scale required for postclosure performance assessment analyses, that is, at a scale relevant to assessing potential radionuclide transport from beneath Yucca Mountain to a point about 18 km south of Yucca Mountain where the reasonably maximally exposed individual may extract groundwater from the aquifer. This knowledge builds on, and is consistent with, knowledge that has accumulated at the regional scale, but it is more detailed because a higher density of data is available at the site-scale level. 2.2 REGIONAL GROUNDWATER FLOW SYSTEM The Death Valley regional flow system encompasses an area of about 70,000 km2 in southern California and southern Nevada, between latitudes 35º and 38º 15' north and longitudes 115° and 118° 45' west. The region varies topographically and geologically, and these features tend to control the groundwater flow system. The highest elevations are in the Spring Mountains (greater than 3,600 m) and in the Sheep Range (greater than 2,900 m). The lowest elevations September 2003 2-1 No. 11: Saturated Zone Revision 2 occur in Death Valley (-86 m) and along the major tributaries to the Amargosa River. The major physiographic features within the regional flow system are illustrated in Figure 2-1. Groundwater in the Death Valley region flows through a variety of rock types ranging from Paleozoic carbonate to Tertiary volcanic rocks (such as those in the Yucca Mountain area) to alluvial aquifers (such as those from which water is extracted for irrigation and other domestic purposes in the Amargosa Farms area). Within the Death Valley region, the presence of hydrostratigraphic discontinuities due to tectonic features, such as faults, has caused many of the aquifers to be heterogeneous. Faults, which disrupt the hydrostratigraphic continuity, divert water in regional circulation to subregional and local discharge. The following discussion summarizes regional recharge and discharge areas and amounts, hydraulic potentials, hydrogeologic characteristics, and hydrochemistry observations and inferences that are used to constrain the groundwater flow system in the vicinity of Yucca Mountain. 2.2.1 Regional Groundwater Recharge and Discharge One of the first steps in developing a consistent representation of the groundwater flow regime in a groundwater basin is to identify the major recharge and discharge locations, types, and amounts. By comparing these distributions, an overall understanding of the water budget within the basin can be developed. Differences between the annual average recharge and discharge amounts are indicative of conditions when water is added to (or taken from) the total water in storage within the aquifers of the basin. Groundwater recharge in the Death Valley region principally is from water that directly infiltrates the soil horizon due to precipitation (rainfall and snowmelt) and that is not lost from the soil horizon due to evaporation or transpiration. Although some recharge occurs along intermittent rivers and streams in the area, most notably the Amargosa River and tributaries, the areal and temporal extent of this recharge is negligible from the perspective of the overall water budget (although local geochemistry and isotopic variations have, in part, been attributed to local intermittent recharge; Hevesi et al. 2002, p. 12). Although this intermittent recharge was not explicitly incorporated in the regional flow model, its effect on the site-scale flow model has been included (see Section 2.3.2). Net infiltration in the region is controlled by variability in precipitation and other factors, including the timing of precipitation, elevation, slope, soil or rock type, and vegetation. Net infiltration usually is episodic and generally occurs after periods of winter precipitation when evapotranspiration is low (Hevesi et al. 2002, p. 10). September 2003 2-2 No. 11: Saturated Zone Source: Belcher et al. 2002, Figure 1. NOTE: The different model boundaries reflect different regional model studies that are discussed and referenced in the source. Figure 2-1. Major Physiographic Features in the Death Valley Regional Flow System No. 11: Saturated Zone Revision 2 September 2003 2-3 Revision 2 Estimates of net infiltration are based on a number of approaches. A traditional approach has been to empirically correlate net infiltration to average annual precipitation. This approach was originally postulated by Maxey and Eakin (1950). A more process-based approach was recently developed by the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), in which the estimated recharge is a function of precipitation, soil depth, evapotranspiration, soil and rock permeability, and other factors. The application of this approach resulted in an estimate of net infiltration in the Yucca Mountain region (Figure 2-2 and Table 2-1). Although there is uncertainty (about a factor of three) in the range of estimates of average annual net infiltration over the Death Valley region, the results generally confirm that most of the recharge occurs at higher elevations in the Spring Mountains and in the Sheep Range, and at other locations above about 1,500 m elevation. Naturally occurring discharge from aquifers in the Death Valley region generally occurs due to evapotranspiration from the shallow water table beneath playas or at springs. Locations of surface features where regional discharge is expected are described by D’Agnese et al. (2002). The current understanding of discharge locations and rates are summarized in Figure 2-3 and Table 2-2. These estimates have been compiled from estimates of evapotranspiration rates and observations of spring discharge in the area. September 2003 2-4 No. 11: Saturated Zone Source: D’Agnese et al. 2002, Figure 21. Figure 2-2. Location of Principal Recharge Areas and Amounts in the Death Valley Regional Flow System No. 11: Saturated Zone Revision 2 September 2003 2-5 Table 2-1. Precipitation Model 1980 to 1995 Modeled Precipitation 1920 to 1993 Cokriged Precipitation Original Maxey-Eakin estimated recharge Source: Based on Hevesi et al. 2002, Table 2. NOTE: Volumetric flows rounded to the nearest 10 million m3/year. No. 11: Saturated Zone Summary of Precipitation, Modeled Net Infiltration, and Estimated Recharge Using Maxey-Eakin Methods for the Area of the Death Valley Regional Groundwater Flow Model. Revision 2 Model Type Model net infiltration Model net infiltration of areas with >200 mm/year precipitation Modified Maxey-Eakin estimated recharge Modified Maxey-Eakin of areas with >200 mm/year precipitation Original Maxey-Eakin estimated recharge Modified Maxey-Eakin estimated recharge Average Value for Area of Death Valley Groundwater Flow Model (mm/year) 202 7.8 4.8 6.3 2.6 4.8 188 5.1 3.7 2-6 Net Infiltration or Recharge as a Percentage of Precipitation . 3.9 6.2 3.1 5.1 2.4 . 2.7 2.0 Total Area Volume (million m3/year) 7,980 310 190 250 110 190 7,430 200 150 September 2003 Source: Based on D’Agnese et al. 2002, Figure 18. NOTE: Location codes are defined in Table 2-2. Figure 2-3. Location of Principal Naturally Occurring Discharge Areas in the Death Valley Regional Flow System No. 11: Saturated Zone Revision 2 September 2003 2-7 Table 2-2. Inferred Naturally Occurring Discharge Amounts in the Death Valley Regional Flow System Location Ash Meadows, Amargosa Flat Ash Meadows, Carson Slough Ash Meadows, central area Ash Meadows, upper drainage Ash Meadows, northern area Ash Meadows, southern area Chicago Valley Corn Creek Springs Death Valley, Badwater basin area Death Valley, Confidence Hills area Death Valley, Cottonball basin area Death Valley, Furnace Creek alluvial fan Death Valley, Mesquite Flat area Death Valley, Middle basin Death Valley, Mormon Point area Death Valley, Nevares Springs Death Valley, Saratoga Springs area Death Valley, Texas Spring Death Valley, Travertine Springs Death Valley, western alluvial fans Franklin Well area Franklin Lake, eastern area Franklin Lake, northern area Franklin Lake, southern area Grapevine Springs, Scotty's Castle area Grapevine Springs, spring area Indian Springs and Cactus Springs Oasis Valley, Beatty area Oasis Valley, Coffer's Ranch area Oasis Valley, middle Oasis Valley area Oasis Valley, Springdale area Pahrump Valley, Bennett Spring area Pahrump Valley, Manse Spring area Penoyer Valley area Sarcobatus Flat, Coyote Hills area Sarcobatus Flat, northeastern area Sarcobatus Flat, southwestern area Shoshone basin, northern area Shoshone basin, southern area Stewart Valley, predominantly playa area Stewart Valley, predominantly vegetation area Tecopa basin, Amargosa Canyon area Tecopa basin, China Ranch area Tecopa basin, Resting Spring area Tecopa basin, Sperry Hills area Tecopa basin, central area Source: Based on D’Agnese et al. 2002. No. 11: Saturated Zone Location Code G-AM-AMFLT G-AM-CARSL G-AM-CENTR G-AM-UPDRN G-AM-NORTH G-AM-SOUTH G-CHICAGOV G-CORNCREK G-DV-BADWT G-DV-CONFI G-DV-COTTN G-DV-FRNFN G-DV-MESQU G-DV-MIDDL G-DV-MORMN G-DV-NEVAR G-DV-SARAT G-DV-TEXAS G-DV-TRVRT G-DV-WESTF G-FRANKWEL G-FRNKLK-E G-FRNKLK-N G-FRNKLK-S G-GRAPE-SC G-GRAPE-SP G-INDIANSP G-OV-BEATY G-OV-COFFR G-OV-OASIS G-OV-SPRDL G-PAH-BENT G-PAH-MANS G-PENOYERV G-SARCO-CH G-SARCO-NE G-SARCO-SW G-SHOSH-N G-SHOSH-S G-STEWRT-P G-STEWRT-V G-TC-AMCAN G-TC-CHRNC G-TC-RESTS G-TC-SPERY G-TC-TECOP TOTAL 105,776,270 m3 per year 2-8 Revision 2 Observed Discharge (m3/day) 6,019 498 21,444 3,219 19,499 10,085 1,452 676 5,019 6,651 3,547 10,185 29,075 2,587 7,225 1,884 6,535 1,220 4,633 13,637 1,182 411 2,254 711 1,035 2,450 2,240 2,774 5,343 3,157 8,113 16,753 5,375 12,833 1,503 30,421 11,960 2,259 4,831 995 2,381 3,394 1,784 2,537 1,341 12,221 September 2003 Revision 2 In addition to natural discharge, groundwater has been withdrawn from the aquifers in the Death Valley regional groundwater basin for various domestic, agricultural, industrial, and government purposes over the last several decades. Locations and estimates of groundwater extraction are summarized in Figure 2-4. Although these discharges from the regional aquifers are small in comparison to natural discharge, they potentially affect the flow paths and flow rates in the vicinity of the pumping centers. In comparing areas of recharge and discharge, it is apparent that most of the recharge occurs at higher elevations, while most discharge occurs at lower elevations. The total volumetric annual recharge and discharge rates in the basin should be similar assuming there is no net water gain or loss from the aquifers within the basin. The differences between Tables 2-1, 2-2, and Figure 2-4 might result from several factors. For example, they may reflect the degree of temporal averaging in different techniques or in the estimation method used to determine the net infiltration (Hevesi et al. 2002). Alternatively, the differences may indicate that there is a nonsteady component of the regional flow system and that recharge and discharge are not in equilibrium. However, it is more likely that the estimates of recharge and discharge are essentially equivalent, and the differences simply represent the precision of the estimation method. Therefore, given the vastness of the groundwater basin, it is not surprising that the regional estimates of recharge and discharge only agree to within a factor of about three, as the regional recharge estimates range from about 110 to 310 million m3/year, and the regional discharge estimate is about 106 million m3/year. Uncertainty in the estimate of the overall water budget was considered in the estimate of the aquifer characteristics that affect the local flow system around Yucca Mountain. 2.2.2 Regional Potentiometric Surface D’Agnese et al. (1997) constructed a regional-scale potentiometric map for the Death Valley regional flow system (Figure 2-5). This regional-scale map was constructed using data describing water levels from monitoring wells, boundaries of perennial marshes and ponds, spring locations, general inferences based on the distribution of recharge and discharge areas, and a general understanding of the regional hydrogeology. The regional potentiometric surface corresponds to the major recharge and discharge areas identified above. The major recharge areas are represented by potential highs in the Spring Mountains, the Sheep Range, and other areas with elevations greater than 1,500 m. Discharge is represented by areas with a very low potential gradient or in areas with elevations less than 500 m. September 2003 2-9 No. 11: Saturated Zone Revision 2 Source: Fenelon and Moreo 2002, Figure 11. NOTE: To convert total withdrawals over the reported period to annual water withdrawals, divide by 12 to convert to acre-feet/year, or multiply by about 100 to convert to m3/year (there are 1,233 m3 in 1 acre-foot). Therefore, the largest pumping center in the Amargosa Valley during this period was discharging 1 to 2 million m3/year, on average. Figure 2-4. Location of Principal Anthropogenic Groundwater Discharge Areas in the Death Valley Regional Flow System September 2003 2-10 No. 11: Saturated Zone Source: Based on D’Agnese et al. 1997, Figure 27. NOTE: The regional flow system model boundary indicated on this figure reflects the boundaries used by D’Agnese et al. (1997), which have been revised in the more recent interpretations described by D’Agnese et al. (2002) and presented in Figures 2-1 to 2-3. Figure 2-5. Regional-Scale Potentiometric Surface Map 2-11 No. 11: Saturated Zone Revision 2 September 2003 Revision 2 Using only the potentiometric information and knowledge of major recharge and discharge areas, D’Agnese et al. (2002) inferred the general regional groundwater flow directions in the central Death Valley subregion of the Death Valley regional flow system (Figure 2-6), which generally is southerly in the vicinity of Yucca Mountain. Although these interpreted flow directions are useful indicators of general trends, they do not directly quantify uncertainty in the flow paths, and they primarily are used to confirm the flow directions developed at the scale of the site model. 2.2.3 Death Valley Regional Hydrogeology Hydrogeology in the Death Valley region is characterized by rocks of differing lithology and hydraulic characteristics depending in part on the location and proximity to major tectonic features. Faults can also affect the flow system, ranging from acting as barriers to groundwater flow when flow is perpendicular to the fault strike to providing preferential flow paths (horizontally and vertically) when flow is parallel to the fault strike. The major hydrogeologic units from oldest to youngest are: the Lower Clastic Confining Unit, the Lower Carbonate Aquifer, the Upper Clastic (Eleana) Confining Unit, the Upper Carbonate Aquifer, the Volcanic Aquifers, the Volcanic Confining Units, and the Alluvial Aquifer. The Lower Clastic Confining Unit forms the basement and generally is present beneath the other units except in caldera complexes. The Lower Carbonate Aquifer is the most extensive and transmissive unit in the region, and it is the source of regional discharge in the springs of Death Valley National Park. The Upper Clastic Confining Unit is present in the north-central part of the Nevada Test Site. It typically impedes flow between the overlying Upper Carbonate Aquifer and the underlying Lower Carbonate Aquifer, and is associated with many of the large hydraulic gradients in and around the Nevada Test Site. The Volcanic Aquifers and Volcanic Confining Units form a stacked series of alternating aquifers and confining units in and around the Nevada Test Site. The Volcanic Aquifers are moderately transmissive and are saturated in western sections of the Nevada Test Site. The Alluvial Aquifer forms a discontinuous aquifer in the region. Regional outcrops of these hydrogeologic units are depicted in Figure 2-7, and representative cross sections through the region, depicting the correlation of these different units, are presented in Figure 2-8. September 2003 2-12 No. 11: Saturated Zone Revision 2 Source: Based on D’Agnese et al. 2002, Figure 11. NOTE: The Central Death Valley Subregion is one of three subregions identified in the Death Valley Regional Flow Model. Figure 2-6. Inferred Groundwater Flow Paths in the Central Death Valley Subregion September 2003 2-13 No. 11: Saturated Zone Revision 2 Source: Belcher et al. 2002, Figure 4. Figure 2-7. Outcrops of Major Hydrogeologic Units in the Death Valley Region September 2003 2-14 No. 11: Saturated Zone Source: Belcher et al. 2002, Figure 35. Figure 2-8. Representative Hydrogeologic Cross Sections through the Death Valley Region No. 11: Saturated Zone Revision 2 September 2003 2-15 Revision 2 Understanding the regional groundwater flow requires evaluating the water-transmitting capability of the major lithologic units. Belcher and Elliot (2001) compiled estimates of transmissivity, hydraulic conductivity, storage coefficients, and anisotropy ratios for major hydrogeologic units within the Death Valley region. Belcher et al. (2002) used a compilation of 930 hydraulic conductivity measurements to derive estimates of the hydraulic characteristics for several of the hydrogeologic units. Regional variability in aquifer characteristics is summarized in Figure 2-9. Although this figure illustrates an apparent depth dependency of hydraulic conductivity, the objective of presenting the information in this format primarily is to depict variability in hydraulic conductivity as a function of rock type. The depth dependency, which presumably is related to confining stress, has not been directly incorporated in the regional hydrogeologic models. Although the information is presented as a function of rock type, it is also probable that the range of variation within a particular rock type is largely affected by the degree of fracturing of the rock in the vicinity of the borehole that was tested (i.e., they reflect local heterogeneity of the rock mass). Uncertainty and variability in hydraulic conductivity were evaluated during construction of the regional and site-scale hydrogeologic models. Uncertainty in hydraulic conductivity does not greatly constrain the flow models. Source: Belcher and Elliot 2001, Figure 4. Figure 2-9. Depth Dependency of Regional Hydraulic Conductivity Estimates September 2003 2-16 No. 11: Saturated Zone Revision 2 2.2.4 Regional Geochemistry In addition to hydraulic observations, an understanding of regional flow systems can be ascertained from interpretations of the regional hydrogeochemistry. The application of hydrogeochemical and isotopic methods make it possible to reduce some uncertainties concerning regional groundwater flow patterns and flow rates. They also provide some bounds on the magnitude and timing of recharge of saturated zone groundwater. The main processes that control groundwater chemistry are: • Precipitation (atmospheric) quantities and compositions • Soil-zone processes in recharge areas • Rock-water interactions in the unsaturated zone between the zone of infiltration and the water table • Rock-water interactions in the saturated zone along the flow path from the recharge location to the point where the water is sampled • Mixing of groundwater from different flow systems. Groundwater is influenced to differing degrees by these processes, and as a result, groundwater extracted from different places (and therefore traveling by different pathways) can attain different chemical signatures that reflect individual pathway histories. The first three of the main processes do not affect the composition of groundwater after it enters the aquifer. However, input compositions differ in the recharge area because of evapotranspiration (which affects ion concentrations), recharge temperatures (which affect ä-deuterium and ä18O), precipitation compositions, soil-zone mineral dissolution, and precipitation reactions. After entering an aquifer, chemical characteristics can be affected by interactions between the groundwater and the rocks. Conservative geochemical constituents (i.e., those that show the least effects of interactions with water and rocks) are particularly important for delineating flow paths because these concentrations primarily reflect inputs and processes that operate in recharge areas. Generally, conservative constituents, for which analytical data are available, include chloride, sulfate, ä-deuterium, and ä18O. Where a lack of downgradient continuity in chemical and isotopic compositions was observed, the possibility of groundwater mixing was evaluated and quantified with inverse geochemical mixing and reaction models. Areal distribution maps of groundwater solutes and isotopes were used in Geochemical and Isotopic Constraints on Groundwater Flow Directions and Magnitudes, Mixing, and Recharge at Yucca Mountain (BSC 2003f) to obtain initial estimates of groundwater flow paths. Water type locations and the corresponding observation points used to evaluate geochemical signatures are depicted in Figure 2-10. Figure 2-11 illustrates the same information while showing chloride concentrations in the identified boreholes. Table 2-3 summarizes the basis for the flow paths illustrated on Figure 2-11. Similar plots for sulfate and ä-deuterium were also used in interpreting these flow paths (Figures 2-12 and 2-13, respectively). September 2003 2-17 No. 11: Saturated Zone Revision 2 Source: BSC 2003f, Figure 62. NOTE: The termination of flow paths implies that the flow paths could not be traced from geochemical information downgradient from these areas because of mixing or dilution by more actively flowing groundwater; flow path terminations do not imply that groundwater flow has stopped. Figure 2-10. Location of Geochemical Groundwater Types and Regional Flow Paths Inferred from Hydrochemical and Isotopic Data September 2003 2-18 No. 11: Saturated Zone Revision 2 Source: Based on BSC 2003f; chloride from Figure 15; flow paths from Figure 62. NOTE: The termination of flow paths implies that the flow paths could not be traced from geochemical information downgradient from these areas because of mixing or dilution by more actively flowing groundwater; flow path terminations do not imply that groundwater flow has stopped. Figure 2-11. Regional Groundwater Chloride Concentrations and Inferred Regional Flow Paths September 2003 2-19 No. 11: Saturated Zone Table 2-3. Summary of Bases for Regional Flow Paths and Mixing Zones Derived from Geochemistry Flow Path or Mixing Zone (Figure 2-10) 1 2 3 4 5 No. 11: Saturated Zone Observations Geochemical Flow Path or Mixing Zone Description Oasis Valley through the Amargosa Desert along the axis of the Amargosa River to the confluence with Fortymile Wash Fortymile Canyon area southward along the axis of Fortymile Wash into the Amargosa Desert Jackass Flats in the vicinity of well UE-25 J-11 southward along the western edge of the Lathrop Wells area and southward through boreholes in the FMW-E area Lower Beatty Wash area into northwestern Crater Flat. This groundwater flows predominantly southward in Crater Flat past borehole USW VH-1 and NC-EWDP-3D. SW Crater Flat Group Revision 2 Geochemical Evidence of Flow Path or Mixing Zone Areal plots of chloride and scatterplots of SO4 versus Cl. Groundwater along this flow path becomes more dilute to the south as it becomes increasingly mixed with groundwater near Fortymile Wash. Upstream of this mixing zone, high groundwater 14C activities and variable äD and ä18O compositions indicate the presence of relatively young recharge in the groundwater due to runoff or irrigation in the area Similar anion and cation concentrations along the flow line and dissimilarities compared to regions to the east and west. Groundwater along the northern part of this flow path is distinguished from groundwater at Yucca Mountain by äD and ä18O compositions that are heavier or more offset from the Yucca Mountain meteoric water line than the groundwater found under Yucca Mountain. Based on the observation that 14C activities do not decrease systematically southward in the northern or southern segments of the wash, some part of the groundwater along Fortymile Wash may also be derived from recharge due to runoff or irrigation in the area. High SO4 and low ä34S characteristics of groundwater from well UE-25 J-11 distinguish it from the high SO4 and high ä34S groundwater characteristic of the Gravity fault and the low SO4 and low ä34S groundwater of the Fortymile Wash. A scatterplot of ä34S versus 1/SO4 indicates a mixing trend involving well UE-25 J-11 as an end member, with wells in the Lathrop Wells and FMW-E groups having up to 20 percent of a UE-25 J-11-like groundwater. These mixing relations were confirmed with PHREEQC inverse models involving selected boreholes in these groups. Scatterplots and PHREEQC inverse models show that a mixture of groundwater is required to account for the Cl, äD, and ä18O compositions characteristic of this flow path. East of Flow Path 4, the extremely light ä13C and high ä87Sr of groundwater in northern Yucca Mountain compared to Timber Mountain groundwater, indicates that groundwater from the Timber Mountain and Beatty Wash areas is not the dominant component of groundwater at Yucca Mountain north of Drill Hole Wash. Chemically and isotopically distinct from groundwater that characterizes Flow Path 4, with higher concentrations of most major ions (but lower concentrations of F and SiO2), and relatively high ä18O and äD. Groundwater in Oasis Valley has some of the lightest oxygen and hydrogen isotopic compositions in the Yucca Mountain area, eliminating flow from Oasis Valley under Bare Mountain as a possible source of groundwater in southwest Crater Flat. A more likely source for groundwater along this flow path is local recharge at Bare Mountain, a source suggested by the similarly heavy äD and ä18O compositions of perched water emanating from a spring at Bare Mountain (Specie Spring) and groundwater in southwest Crater Flat. This similarity indicates that local recharge and runoff from Bare Mountain may be the source of groundwater along this flow path, as schematically indicated by the dashed nature of the beginning of this flow path in Figure 2-10. September 2003 2-20 Table 2-3. Summary of Bases for Regional Flow Paths and Mixing Zones Derived from Geochemistry Observations (Continued) Flow Path or Mixing Zone (Figure 2-10) 6 7 8 9 Mix A No. 11: Saturated Zone Geochemical Flow Path or Mixing Zone Description From borehole USW WT-10 southward toward borehole NC-EWDP-15P From northern Yucca Mountain southeastward toward YM-SE boreholes in the Dune Wash area, then southwestward along the western edge of Fortymile Wash Leakage of groundwater from the carbonate aquifer across the Gravity fault Deep underflow of groundwater from the carbonate beneath the Amargosa Desert and Funeral Mountains to discharge points in Death Valley Samples from the Nye County and SW Crater Flat boreholes along U.S. Highway 95 Revision 2 Geochemical Evidence of Flow Path or Mixing Zone This flow path is identified from PHREEQC models that indicate that groundwater from borehole NC-EWDP-15P is formed from subequal amounts of groundwater from boreholes USW WT-10 and USW VH-1, and a small percentage (less than 5 percent) of groundwater from the carbonate aquifer. Although the predominant direction of flow from the Solitario Canyon area is southward along the Solitario Canyon fault, evidence for the leakage of small amounts of groundwater eastward across the fault is provided by similarities in the concentrations of many ions and isotopes between boreholes in the Solitario Canyon Wash and Yucca Mountain Crest areas. This chemical and isotopic similarity indicates that groundwater as far east as borehole USW H-4 may have some component of groundwater from the Solitario Canyon Wash area and possibly NC-EWDP-19D. The short southeastoriented dashed lines from boreholes in the Solitario Canyon Group schematically illustrate this leakage. The upper segment of this flow path is motivated by the high groundwater 234U/238U activity ratios found in the northern Yucca Mountain and Dune Wash areas. High 234U/238U activity ratios (greater than 7) typify perched water and groundwater along and north of Drill Hole Wash but not groundwater along Yucca Crest at borehole USW SD-6 or perched water at borehole USW SD-7. Based on the conceptual model for the evolution of 234U/238U activity ratios, congruent dissolution of thick vitric tuffs that underlie the Topopah Spring welded tuff along Yucca Crest south of Drill Hole Wash would be expected to decrease the 234U/238U activity ratios of deep unsaturated-zone percolation south of the wash. High 234U/238U activity ratios are expected only where these vitric tuffs are absent, as in northern Yucca Mountain. Hydrogeologists and geochemists have recognized leakage across the fault (Winograd and Thordarson 1975; Claassen 1985). The carbonate aquifer component in this groundwater is recognized by many of the same chemical and isotopic characteristics that typify groundwater discharging from the carbonate aquifer at Ash Meadows. These characteristics include high concentrations Ca and Mg, low SiO2, heavy ä13C values, low 14C activity, and ä18O and äD values comparable to Ash Meadows groundwater. The similarity in the chemical and isotopic characteristics of groundwater found in the Gravity fault area and groundwater that discharges from Nevares and Travertine springs support this interpretation. The dissimilarity in Cl, Mg, and SiO2 concentrations in these springs compared to the groundwater from the alluvial aquifer along the Amargosa River suggests that this alluvial groundwater is not the predominant source of the spring discharge in Death Valley. The zone is demonstrated by groundwater compositions of samples that are intermediate between the compositionally distinct groundwater of the carbonate aquifer and dilute groundwater of the volcanic aquifer that is interpreted to have originated in the Yucca Mountain area (see discussion of flow paths 6 and 7). September 2003 2-21 Table 2-3. Summary of Bases for Regional Flow Paths and Mixing Zones Derived from Geochemistry Observations (Continued) Flow Path or Mixing Zone (Figure 2-10) Mix B Mix C Source: BSC 2003f. No. 11: Saturated Zone Geochemical Flow Path or Mixing Zone Description Samples from the FMW-W and AR/FMW groups, plus a few samples from the FMW-S group All samples from the Lathrop Wells and FMW-E groups, a few of the more westerly samples form the Gravity fault group, and at least one sample (#141) from the FMW-S group Revision 2 Geochemical Evidence of Flow Path or Mixing Zone The zone highlights groundwater with compositions that are intermediate between the distinct and consistent groundwater compositions of the Amargosa River Group and the dilute groundwater of the FMW-S group. Characterized by small percentages of the distinctively high SO4 groundwater from Well UE-25 J-11. Groundwater with this distinctive signature is mixed to variable degrees with dilute water from the FMW-S group to the west or with groundwater from the carbonate aquifer (Gravity fault group) to the east. September 2003 2-22 Source: BSC 2003f, Figure 16. Figure 2-12. Areal Distribution of Sulfate in Groundwater No. 11: Saturated Zone Revision 2 September 2003 2-23 Revision 2 Source: Based on BSC 2003f, Figure 24. Figure 2-13. Regional Groundwater ä-Deuterium Flow paths were interpreted based on a number of approaches, including examination of areal distribution plots for spatial trends (e.g., Figures 2-11, 2-12, and 2-13), examination of scatterplots between chemical or isotopic variables that indicate relationships (including mixing) between groundwater from the different geographic areas (identified in Figure 2-10), and inverse geochemical models used to estimate the mixing fractions of various upgradient groundwaters present in a downgradient groundwater, recognizing that groundwater composition can be a result of mixing and water-rock interactions (BSC 2003f). The first two approaches focus on patterns and relationships displayed among relatively nonreactive species (e.g., chloride, sulfate, and ä-deuterium). The potential groundwater sources and mixing relationships suggested by the first two approaches were examined quantitatively by inverse mixing and reaction models that also considered the evolution of more reactive species through water-rock interaction. The first approach is essentially two dimensional, but the second and third approaches incorporate the effects of three-dimensional mixing with local recharge or with groundwater upwelled from the deep carbonate aquifer. 2-24 September 2003 No. 11: Saturated Zone Revision 2 The regional flow paths and mixing zones, identified based on the groundwater geochemical signatures, are consistent with the general flow directions and recharge-discharge relationships discussed in Section 2.2.2. For example, the southwesterly flow in the deep carbonate aquifer across the Amargosa Desert is consistent with recharge in the Spring Mountains and Sheep Range and with discharge in the springs around Death Valley. Similarly, the relatively shallow southerly flow through tuff and alluvium from recharge in the Rainer Mesa area along the Fortymile Canyon and under Fortymile Wash discharges in the wells in Amargosa Valley or at natural discharge areas such as Franklin Lake Playa. All of these figures illustrate a general southerly flow of regional groundwater in the vicinity of Yucca Mountain and a mixing of different groundwater types in the alluvial aquifer underlying the Amargosa Valley. 2.2.5 Groundwater Flow Model and Results Several models have been constructed over the past decade to describe the hydrogeology in the Death Valley region. The current three-dimensional digital hydrogeologic framework model developed for the Death Valley regional flow system contains elements from both of the hydrogeologic framework models used in previous investigations: the 1997 Death Valley regional flow system model (D’Agnese et al. 1997) and the Under Ground Test Area regional model (DOE 1997). The Death Valley regional flow system has been analyzed by the USGS using a threedimensional steady-state model. The required model parameter values were supplied by discretization of the three-dimensional hydrogeologic framework model and digital representations of the remaining conceptual model components. The three-dimensional simulation and corresponding sensitivity analysis supported the hypothesis of interactions between a relatively shallow local and subregional flow system and a deeper dominant regional system controlled by the carbonate aquifer. Model calibration was completed to estimate hydraulic parameters that best fit observed hydraulic data and evaluate alternative conceptual models of the flow system. The results of the model are illustrated in Figure 2-14, where the residual difference between the simulated and observed heads is plotted. Acceptable matches to observed hydraulic heads generally occur in areas of low hydraulic gradients. Poorer fits generally occur in areas with a steep hydraulic gradient. Although some of the observed and simulated heads differ by more than 100 m, the general flow directions and recharge and discharge relationships are preserved. Figure 2-14 indicates that in some parts of the regional flow model, the data are too sparse to sufficiently constrain the model. That is, the model attempts to reduce the hydraulic head residual with equal weight applied to all observations. In areas where more boreholes exist to constrain the predicted hydraulic heads, the residuals generally are lower. This is the case in the Amargosa Farms area, Yucca Flat, Oasis Valley, and in the vicinity of Yucca Mountain. In areas with less hydraulic constraint, such as north of Indian Springs and along the Eleana Range, the residuals generally are greater. Although considerable uncertainty exists in the observed and predicted hydraulic heads in the regional flow model, the general trends indicate major recharge and discharge areas that are consistent with the observed areas presented in Figures 2-2 and 2-3. September 2003 2-25 No. 11: Saturated Zone Source: Based on D’Agnese et al. 2002, Figure 40. Figure 2-14. Comparison of Predicted and Observed Hydraulic Heads in the Death Valley Regional Groundwater Flow Model No. 11: Saturated Zone Revision 2 September 2003 2-26 Revision 2 Comparison of modeled and inferred discharge is presented in Figure 2-15. Given the large uncertainty in the hydraulic characteristics and the sparseness of the observations, the match is acceptable for understanding the overall flow system and estimating the flow rates in the vicinity of Yucca Mountain. Uncertainties in the regional flow model can be attributed to uncertainties in the hydrogeology represented in the framework model, water levels being represented as static rather than perched, and resolution of detailed hydrostratigraphy in the coarse grid of the regional model. Considering these constraints, the regional representation of groundwater flow is sufficiently characterized to define a general southerly flow direction in the vicinity of Yucca Mountain. Figure 2-15. Simulated and Observed Groundwater Discharge for Major Discharge Areas Source: D’Agnese et al. 2002, Figure 43. 2.3 SITE-SCALE GROUNDWATER FLOW SYSTEM To better represent the groundwater flow system at the scale of interest for the repository, it is necessary to develop a more refined estimate of the groundwater regime than is possible using only the regional characterization. The regional groundwater flow characterization provides the context of the site-scale representation by constraining the likely groundwater flow paths (through regional understanding of recharge, discharge, hydraulic potentials, and geochemistry) and the average volumetric flow rates (through regional understanding of the hydraulic characteristics and the regional water budget). The regional representation is not suitable for evaluating the details of the groundwater flow rates (e.g., specific discharge) or the distribution of flow rates along the paths of likely radionuclide migration from Yucca Mountain to the compliance point specified in regulations. No. 11: Saturated Zone September 2003 2-27 Revision 2 Figure 2-1 depicts the location and scale of the site-scale groundwater flow representation. This model encompasses an area of 30 by 45 km and extends from the top of the water table to the lower clastic confining unit. Although the site-scale model resides within the regional-scale representation and must be consistent with the regional characterization, details of the flow paths and hydrogeology at the scale of hundreds of meters to kilometers necessitates a finer resolution of understanding than the scale of kilometers to tens of kilometers used in the regional model. 2.3.1 Site Characterization and Data Collection Drilling to evaluate the Yucca Mountain site began in 1978, and the first hydrologic test borehole was completed in 1981. Detailed site characterization commenced in 1986. Water levels were measured as each borehole was completed, and long-term water-level monitoring commenced in 1983. Periodic measuring of water levels continues through the present. The network of monitoring boreholes has evolved over the years and continues to increase as boreholes are installed as part of the ongoing Nye County Early Warning Drilling Program. The boreholes provide measurements at various depths, and a number of boreholes monitor more than one depth interval. The location of monitoring boreholes used to characterize the groundwater flow system in the vicinity of Yucca Mountain are illustrated in Figure 2-16. This figure includes boreholes drilled and tested by the DOE in support of the Yucca Mountain Site Characterization Project and those drilled and tested by Nye County as part of the Nye County Early Warning Drilling Program. 2.3.2 Site-Scale Recharge and Discharge Within the scale of the site model of saturated zone groundwater flow, the bulk of the recharge and discharge occurs along the lateral boundaries with the regional model (Figure 2-17a). Inflow generally occurs along the northern and eastern boundaries, and discharge generally is along the southern boundary (Table 2-4). Figure 2-17a shows the segments of the north, east, and west boundaries listed in Table 2-4. Inflow from the north generally is the result of regional recharge that occurs at Timber Mountain, Pahute Mesa, and Rainer Mesa. Inflow from the east is generally the result of regional underflow in the carbonate aquifers that were recharged in the Specter Range. Outflow to the south is the result of carbonate underflow and flow in the alluvial aquifers that ultimately discharges to wells in Amargosa Valley or naturally at Ash Meadows. Table 2-4 shows the site-scale base-case flow model and the 1997 Death Valley regional flow system model. Appendix D also compares the 2001 Death Valley regional flow system model. Local recharge due to infiltration along Yucca Mountain and, to a lesser extent, along Fortymile Wash is also considered. The distributions of vertical recharge in the site-scale model are depicted in Figure 2-17b. September 2003 2-28 No. 11: Saturated Zone CRWMS M&O 2000a, Figure 3-7. DTNs: MO0105GSC01040.000, MO0106GSC01043.000, MO0203GSC02034.000, and MO0206GSC02074.000. Source: Figure 2-16. Location of Boreholes used to Characterize the Site-Scale Groundwater Flow System No. 11: Saturated Zone Revision 2 September 2003 2-29 Of the total volumetric recharge and discharge in the regional flow basin (on the order of 100 to 300 million m3/year), about 10 to 30 percent (depending on the assumed regional flow balance) flows through the site-scale model boundaries. The bulk of the flow is within the carbonate aquifers that are recharged to the east and north of the site model area. Groundwater flows into and across the site model boundaries, and it ultimately discharges to the south of the site model. Table 2-4 compares the regional and site-scale model fluxes for an evaluation of consistency. Based on the discussion of uncertainty in the regional potentiometric surface, the uncertainty and variability in regional aquifer characteristics, and the uncertainty in regional recharge and discharge amounts and distribution, the uncertainty in the boundary fluxes (which is not quantified on this table) is considerable. All three types of information (hydraulic heads, hydraulic conductivity, and recharge-discharge amounts) are integrated into the site-scale model to develop an integrated and self-consistent representation of the overall flow system. Although uncertainty exists in each type of information, the integrated representation appropriately reflects all three observations. Table 2-4. Comparison of Regional and Site-Scale Fluxes Boundary Zone Regional Flux (million m3/year) -3.2 -0.5 -1.7 -0.6 -6.1 0.1 -2.2 -0.2 0.1 -1.5 -3.7 -17.5 -0.2 0.1 -0.1 -17.7 28.9 Site-Scale Flux (million m3/year) -1.9 -1.1 -1.0 -1.4 -5.4 0.1 <<0.1 <<0.1 <<0.1 -0.2 -0.1 -17.5 0.1 0.5 0.5 -16.4 22.8 N1 N2 N3 N4 Subtotal of North Boundary Fluxes W1 W2 W3 W4 W5 Subtotal of West Boundary Fluxes E1 E2 E3 E4 Subtotal of East Boundary Fluxes S Source: Based on BSC 2001a, Table 14. NOTES: Negative values indicate flow into the model. Values were converted from mass flux to volumetric flux and rounded to the nearest 0.1 million m3/yr. 2-30 No. 11: Saturated Zone September 2003 Revision 2 Revision 2 Source: BSC 2001a, Figure 16. NOTE: Locations indicate discrete places where boundary fluxes from the regional model are applied to the sitescale flow model. The southern boundary is not coded S because it is one segment. Figure 2-17a. Flux Zones used for Comparing Regional and Site-Scale Flux September 2003 2-31 No. 11: Saturated Zone Source: BSC 2001b, Figure 6.1.3-2. Figure 2-17b. Recharge to the Saturated Zone Site-Scale Flow Model No. 11: Saturated Zone Revision 2 September 2003 2-32 Revision 2 2.3.3 Site-Scale Potentiometric Surface Figure 2-18 depicts the results of an analysis of water-level data prepared by the USGS to provide the potentiometric surface within the site-scale model domain and target water-level data for model calibration (USGS 2001b). During this analysis, the water-level data were used to generate a single representative potentiometric surface for the saturated zone site-scale model domain. When developing the potentiometric surface, water-level altitudes representing the uppermost aquifer system, typically the volcanic or alluvial system, were used. Water-level altitudes in some boreholes represent composite heads from multiple hydrogeologic units and fracture zones. Generally, water levels in the uppermost saturated zone appear to represent a laterally continuous, well-connected aquifer system. However, locally, it is possible that the observed uppermost potential represents a perched or semiconfined interval, or that a more transmissive unit deeper in the borehole controls the local potential. The faults depicted in Figure 2-18 are described in Site-Scale Saturated Zone Flow Model (BSC 2003c) and Water-Level Data Analysis for the Saturated Zone Site-Scale Flow and Transport Model (USGS 2001b). The USGS (2001a) provided an updated analysis of water-level data (Figure 2-19). This analysis included water-level data collected through December 2000, including water-level data obtained from the expanded Nye County Early Warning Drilling Program and data from borehole USW WT-24. In addition to the inclusion of new water-level data, the primary difference in the approach taken to generate the revised potentiometric surface was the assumption that water levels in the northern portion of the model domain (boreholes USW G-2 and UE-25 WT #6) represent perched conditions and are not representative of the regional potentiometric surface. As a result, the revised potentiometric surface map represents an alternate concept for the large hydraulic gradient area north of Yucca Mountain. Comparison of Figures 2-18 and 2-19 indicates that the potentiometric surface maps are similar. Although differences can be noted in these two conceptualizations, both potentiometric surfaces indicate a predominately southerly component of groundwater flow in this area. Based on the potentiometric surface map, three distinct hydraulic gradient areas in the vicinity of Yucca Mountain have been identified: a large hydraulic gradient between water-level altitudes of 1,030 m and 750 m at the northern end of Yucca Mountain, a moderate hydraulic gradient west of the crest of Yucca Mountain, and a small hydraulic gradient extending from Solitario Canyon to Fortymile Wash. September 2003 2-33 No. 11: Saturated Zone Source: USGS 2001b, Figure 1-2. NOTE: Black lines indicate major faults, which are identified in the source document. Figure 2-18. Nominal Site-Scale Potentiometric Surface No. 11: Saturated Zone Revision 2 September 2003 2-34 Revision 2 Figure 2-19. Alternative Site-Scale Potentiometric Surface Source: USGS 2001a, Figure 6-1. September 2003 2-35 No. 11: Saturated Zone Revision 2 A number of explanations have been proposed to explain the presence of the large hydraulic gradient at the north end of Yucca Mountain (Czarnecki and Waddell 1984; Ervin et al. 1994). Explanations proposed for the large hydraulic gradient include: • Faults that contain nontransmissive fault gouge • Faults that juxtapose transmissive tuff against nontransmissive tuff • The presence of a less fractured lithologic unit • A change in the direction of the regional stress field and a resultant change in the intensity, interconnectedness, and orientation of open fractures on either side of the area with the large hydraulic gradient • A disconnected, perched or semi-perched water body (i.e., the high water-level altitudes are caused by local hydraulic conditions and are not part of the regional saturated zone flow system). The cause of the moderate hydraulic gradient generally is believed to be the result of the Solitario Canyon fault and its splays functioning as a barrier to flow from west to east due to the presence of low-permeability fault gouge or to the juxtaposition of more permeable units against less permeable units (Luckey et al. 1996, p. 25). The small hydraulic gradient occupies most of the repository area and the downgradient area eastward to Fortymile Wash. Over a distance of 6 km, the hydraulic gradient declines only about 2.5 m between the crest of Yucca Mountain and Fortymile Wash. The small gradient could indicate highly transmissive rocks, little groundwater flow in this area, or a combination of both (Luckey et al. 1996, p. 27). In addition to an understanding of the areal hydraulic potential gradient distribution, local vertical potential gradients have been observed in individual boreholes that have isolated test intervals. The results of these individual head observations are tabulated in Table 2-5. Depending on the location of the borehole, small vertical potential differences are probably not indicative of vertical flow but, instead, represent the degree of horizontal heterogeneity within the aquifer that is tested. However, large vertical potential differences, such as those between the carbonate aquifer and the overlying tuff or alluvial aquifers, are generally representative of more extensive flow field differences. The vertical hydraulic gradients in the vicinity of Yucca Mountain are generally oriented upward (i.e., they are positive values in Table 2-5). These upward gradients effectively limit the downward potential for migration of water within the tuff aquifers or between the tuff aquifers and the underlying carbonate aquifer. Although locally downward hydraulic gradients are possible, these have been attributed to the presence of local recharge conditions and low permeability confining units. Additional details on observed vertical gradients in the vicinity of Yucca Mountain are presented in Appendix B. September 2003 2-36 No. 11: Saturated Zone Table 2-5. Summary of Vertical Head Observations at Boreholes in the Vicinity of Yucca Mountain Revision 2 Head Difference deepest to shallowest intervals (m) Borehole USW H-1 tube 4 USW H-1 tube 3 USW H-1 tube 2 USW H-1 tube 1 USW H-3 upper USW H-3 lower USW H-4 upper USW H-4 lower USW H-5 upper USW H-5 lower USW H-6 upper USW H-6 lower USW H-6 UE-25 b #1 upper UE-25 b #1 lower UE-25 p #1 (volcanic) UE-25 p #1 (carbonate) UE-25 c #3 UE-25 c #3 USW G-4 USW G-4 UE-25 J-13 upper UE-25 J-13 UE-25 J-13 UE-25 J-13 NC-EWDP-1DX (shallow) NC-EWDP-1DX (deep) NC-EWDP-2D (volcanic) NC-EWDP-2DB (carbonate) NC-EWDP-3S probe 2 NC-EWDP-3S probe 3 NC-EWDP-3D NC-EWDP-4PA NC-EWDP-4PB NC-EWDP-7SC probe 1 NC-EWDP-7SC probe 2 NC-EWDP-7SC probe 3 NC-EWDP-7SC probe 4 NC-EWDP-9SX probe 1 NC-EWDP-9SX probe 2 NC-EWDP-9SX probe 4 NC-EWDP-12PA NC-EWDP-12PB NC-EWDP-12PC NC-EWDP-19P NC-EWDP-19D Source: Based on USGS 2001a, Table 6-1. Negative values indicate downward gradient. NOTE: No. 11: Saturated Zone Open Interval (m below land surface) 573-673 716-765 1097-1123 1783-1814 762-1114 1114-1219 525-1188 1188-1219 708-1091 1091-1219 533-752 752-1220 1193-1220 488-1199 1199-1220 384-500 1297-1805 692-753 753-914 615-747 747-915 282-451 471-502 585-646 820-1063 WT-419 658-683 WT-493 820-937 103-129 145-168 WT-762 124-148 225-256 24-27 55-64 82-113 131-137 27-37 43-49 101-104 99-117 99-117 52-70 109-140 106-433 Potentiometric Level (m above sea level) 730.94 730.75 736.06 785.58 731.19 760.07 730.49 730.56 775.43 775.65 775.99 775.91 778.18 730.71 729.69 729.90 751.26 730.22 730.64 730.3 729.8 728.8 728.9 728.9 728.0 786.8 748.8 706.1 713.7 719.8 719.4 718.3 717.9 723.6 818.1 786.4 756.6 740.2 766.7 767.3 766.8 722.9 723.0 720.7 707.5 712.8 2-37 54.7 28.9 0.1 0.2 2.2 -1.0 21.4 0.4 -0.5 -0.8 -38.0 7.6 -1.5 5.7 -77.9 0.1 2.2 5.3 September 2003 Revision 2 Only two boreholes, UE-25 p #1 and NC-EWDP-2D/2DB, provide information on vertical gradients between volcanic rocks and the underlying Paleozoic carbonate rocks. At borehole UE-25 p #1, water levels currently are monitored only in the carbonate aquifer; however, waterlevel data were obtained from within the volcanic rocks as the borehole was drilled and tested. At this borehole, water levels in the Paleozoic carbonate rocks are about 20 m higher than those in the overlying volcanic rocks. Borehole NC-EWDP-2DB penetrated Paleozoic carbonate rocks toward the bottom of the borehole (Spengler 2001a). Water levels measured within that deep part of the borehole are about 8 m higher than levels measured in volcanic rocks penetrated by borehole NC-EWDP-2D. Water levels monitored in the lower part of the volcanic-rock sequence at Yucca Mountain also generally are higher than levels monitored in the upper part of the volcanics. For example, boreholes USW H-1 (tube 1) and USW H-3 (lower interval) both monitor water levels in the lower part of the volcanic rock sequence, and upward gradients are observed with head differences of 55 and 29 m, respectively. The gradient at USW H-3 is not completely characterized because the water levels in the lower interval had been continuously rising before the packer that separates the upper and lower intervals failed in 1996. An upward gradient is also observed between the alluvial deposits monitored in borehole NC-EWDP-19P and underlying volcanic rocks monitored in borehole NC-EWDP-19D. The vertical head difference at this site is 5.3 m; however, levels reported for NC-EWDP-19D represent a composite water level for the alluvium and volcanics, so that the true head difference between those units is not completely known. Several downward gradients have also been observed within the saturated zone site-scale flow and transport model area (Table 2-5). The largest downward gradient is observed between the deep and shallow monitored intervals at borehole NC-EWDP-1DX (head difference of 38 m) and NC-EWDP-7S (head difference of about 78 m). The depth to water at both of these locations is anomalously shallow and probably represents either locally perched conditions or the presence of a low permeability confining unit close to the surface that effectively impedes the downward migration of water to the more contiguous tuff and alluvium aquifers at greater depths. 2.3.4 Site-Scale Hydrogeologic Framework The site-scale hydrogeologic framework represents site hydrostratigraphy at a scale commensurate with the scale of the flow system and sufficient to define the hydrogeologic units through which water may move from the repository block to a compliance point about 18 km south of Yucca Mountain. Understanding the various lithologic units through which water migrates is important due to the transport characteristics of the different lithologies in the vicinity of Yucca Mountain. In particular, the transport characteristics of fractured and porous welded tuffs are different from fractured nonwelded tuffs, which are both different from porous alluvium. Of particular interest to the behavior of the saturated zone barrier at Yucca Mountain are the effective porosity and retardation characteristics of the different lithologies, as well as the length of the flow path in the alluvial aquifer. September 2003 2-38 No. 11: Saturated Zone Revision 2 The hydrogeologic framework sets the lithologic constraints through which water is likely to flow. This framework is based on direct outcrop observations (Figure 2-20), geologic observations from boreholes in the area, interpolation from the regional hydrogeology, geophysical logs (especially resistivity and seismic surveys), and geologic inferences of lithologic unit thicknesses from regional facies variations. Representative cross sections of the site-scale hydrogeologic framework model are presented in Figure 2-21. Aspects of the site-scale geology important to groundwater flow are represented in the site-scale hydrogeologic framework model. A detailed description of the hydrogeologic framework model, assumptions, and methods used to develop the model are given in Hydrogeologic Framework Model for the Saturated-Zone Site-Scale Flow and Transport Model (USGS 2001c). A comparison of the revised hydrogeologic framework model with the geologic framework model used to evaluate the detailed site geology is presented in Appendix A. Since development of the hydrogeologic framework model used in the total system performance assessment license application base-case model, the Yucca Mountain hydrogeologic framework model has been reinterpreted incorporating data recently obtained from the Nye County Early Warning Drilling Program and through the reinterpretation of existing data from other areas (including geophysical data in the northern area of the site). The major changes in the revised hydrogeologic framework model are in the southern part of the model and include new information on the depths and extent of the alluvial layers. As a result of reinterpreting the hydrogeologic framework model, the number and distribution of hydrogeologic units has been modified in the 2002 hydrogeologic framework model, and it now corresponds to the units in the regional hydrogeologic framework model. A comparison of the hydrogeologic units identified in the hydrogeologic framework models used in the base-case and 2002 models is provided in Table 2-6. The table indicates that there were 19 hydrogeologic units in the base-case hydrogeologic framework model and 27 hydrogeologic units in the 2002 hydrogeologic framework model. Four of the 27 units present in the regional model are not found within the boundary of the site-scale hydrogeologic framework model because they are pinched out by adjacent units. The hydrogeologic framework model revision has the same units and is consistent with the Death Valley regional flow system model (D’Agnese et al. 2002). The development of the 2002 site-scale hydrogeologic framework model revision was influenced primarily by geologic observations made from Nye County boreholes drilled since the earlier version of the model. Although these boreholes serve multiple geologic and hydrogeologic purposes, an important use has been to better characterize the thickness and lateral extent of the alluvial aquifer north of U.S. Highway 95. The location of these Nye County boreholes and cross-section lines are illustrated in Figure 2-22. Figure 2-23 shows the cross-sections for these Nye County boreholes. Figures 2-24 and 2-25 depict the total alluvial thickness and saturated alluvial thickness derived from borehole observations and geophysical logging completed in the area between Yucca Mountain and U.S. Highway 95. September 2003 2-39 No. 11: Saturated Zone Source: USGS 2001c, Figure 4-2. NOTE: The lines of section correspond to the cross sections shown on Figure 2-21. Figure 2-20. Outcrop Geology of the Site-Scale Hydrogeologic Framework Model No. 11: Saturated Zone Revision 2 September 2003 2-40 Source: USGS 2001c, Figure 6-1. Note: Figure 2-21. Representative Cross-Sections through the Site-Scale Hydrogeologic Framework Model No. 11: Saturated Zone “D’Agnese & others, 1997” refers to D’Agnese et al. (1997). 2-41 Revision 2 September 2003 Models Abbreviation Base ICU XCU LCCU LCA UCCU UCA LCCU_T1 LCA_T1 SCU VSU Lower OVU BRU CFTA CFBCU CFPPA WVU CHVU PVA TMVA VSU YVU LFU LA OACU OAA YACU YAA Source: BSC 2003h, Table 7.5-2. Table 2-6. Correspondence between Units of the Revised- and Base-Case Hydrogeologic Framework NOTE: These units do not have a one-to-one correlation. This table approximately relates the new hydrogeologic units to the base-case version. Four units that do not occur in the site-scale hydrogeologic framework model (OACU, YVU, BRU, and SCU) are included here to maintain the relationship to the regional model. Revision 2 Base-Case Hydrogeologic Framework Model Upper Clastic Confining Unit, Upper Clastic Confining Unit—thrust 2 (uccu, uccut2) Lower Clastic Confining Unit—thrust 1 (lccut1) Lower Carbonate Aquifer thrusts 1 and 2 (lcat1, lcat2) NA 9, 10, 11 Older Volcanic Confining Unit, Older Volcanic Aquifer, Lower Volcanic Confining Unit (lvcu, lva, mvcu) NA Lower Volcanic Aquifer—Tram Tuff (tct) Lower Volcanic Aquifer—Bullfrog Tuff (tcb) Lower Volcanic Aquifer—Prow Pass Tuff (tcp) Upper Volcanic Confining Unit (uvcu) Upper Volcanic Confining Unit (uvcu) Upper Volcanic Aquifer (uva) Upper Volcanic Aquifer (uva) Undifferentiated valley-fill (leaky) NA Valley-fill Aquifer (alluvium), Undifferentiated valley-fill (leaky) Valley-fill Confining Unit (playas) Valley-fill Aquifer (alluvium) No. 11: Saturated Zone Revised (Site and Regional Transient Model in Preparation) Hydrogeologic Name Unit Base (-4000 m) Intrusive Confining Unit Crystalline Confining Unit Lower Clastic Confining Unit Lower Carbonate Aquifer Upper Clastic Confining Unit 1 2 3 4 5 6 Upper Carbonate Aquifer Lower Clastic Confining Unit— thrust Lower Carbonate Aquifer—thrust 7 8 9 NA 11 Sedimentary Confining Unit (none in site area) Lower Volcanic and Sedimentary Units Older Volcanic Units 12 Belted Range Unit (none in site area) Crater Flat - Tram Aquifer Crater Flat - Bullfrog Confining Unit Crater Flat - Prow Pass Aquifer Wahmonie Volcanic Unit Calico Hills Volcanic Unit Paintbrush Volcanic Aquifer Timber Mountain Volcanic Aquifer Volcanic and Sedimentary Units NA 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 NA 23 24 NA Young Volcanic Units (none in site area) Lavaflow Unit Limestone Aquifer Older Alluvial Confining Unit (none in site area) Older Alluvial Aquifer 26 Young Alluvial Confining Unit Young Alluvial Aquifer 27 28 2-42 Hydrogeologic Name Unit Base (bottom of regional flow model) Granitic confining unit (granites) Lower Clastic Confining Unit (lccu) Lower Clastic Confining Unit (lccu) Lower Carbonate Aquifer (lca) 1 2 3 3 4 5 NA NA NA 6 NA Undifferentiated valley-fill (leaky) 8 NA 12 13 14 15 15 16 16 8 NA Lava-flow Aquifer (basalts) 17 Limestone Aquifer (amarls) 18 NA NA 20 19 20 September 2003 Revision 2 Source: Nye County Department of Natural Resources and Federal Facilities 2003, Figure 4.5-3. NOTE: The cross sections A–A’ and B–B’ are shown in Figure 2-23. Figure 2-22. Locations of Nye County Alluvium Cross Sections September 2003 2-43 No. 11: Saturated Zone Revision 2 Source: Nye County Department of Natural Resources and Federal Facilities 2003, Figure 4.5-4. Figure 2-23. Nye County Alluvium Cross Sections September 2003 2-44 No. 11: Saturated Zone Revision 2 Source: DTN: GS021008312332.002. Figure 2-24. Alluvial Zone Total Thickness in the Vicinity of Yucca Mountain September 2003 2-45 No. 11: Saturated Zone Revision 2 Figure 2-25. Alluvial Zone Saturated Thickness in the Vicinity of Yucca Mountain Source: DTN: GS021008312332.002. 2.3.5 Site-Scale Hydrogeology Site-Scale Hydrogeologic Characteristics 2.3.5.1 The permeability of rock units in the vicinity of Yucca Mountain has been determined by single and cross-hole hydraulic testing. These data have been used as starting points to support the calibration of the site-scale flow model (Section 2.3.7). Tuff Hydrogeologic Characteristics Derived from Testing at the C-Wells 2.3.5.2 The C-Wells complex comprises three boreholes drilled and packed off in the Crater Flat Group. This complex is located about 700 m southeast of the South Portal of the Exploratory Study Facility (Figure 2-26), and it has been used to test the hydraulic and transport characteristics of the tuff aquifers along the likely travel path of groundwater from Yucca Mountain. Figure 2-27 summarizes the borehole construction and identifies the major flowing intervals observed in these three boreholes. No. 11: Saturated Zone September 2003 2-46 Revision 2 Source: Based on BSC 2003e, Figure 6.1-1. Figure 2-26. Location of the C-Wells and the Alluvial Testing Complex September 2003 2-47 No. 11: Saturated Zone Revision 2 Source. BSC 2003e, Figure 6.1-2. NOTE: Packer locations indicate intervals in which tracer tests were conducted (tracer tests conducted between UE-25 c#2 and UE-25 c#3). The two borehole logs represent matrix porosity (dimensionless) and fracture density (number of fractures per meter), from left to right, respectively. Figure 2-27. Stratigraphy, Lithology, Matrix Porosity, Fracture Density, and Inflow from Open-Hole Surveys at the C-Wells September 2003 2-48 No. 11: Saturated Zone Revision 2 In addition to the single- and cross-hole testing performed at the C-Wells, a large-scale pump test was performed in this complex. This test was conducted for more than a year and resulted in discernible drawdowns in boreholes located several kilometers away (Figures 2-28 and 2-29). These drawdowns indicate the lateral continuity of the saturated zone aquifer in these tuff rock units as well as similarities in transmissivities and average hydraulic characteristics. Source: BSC 2003e, Figure 6.2-36. Figure 2-28. Distribution of Drawdown in Observation Boreholes at Two Times After Pumping Started in September 2003 2-49 UE-25 c#3 No. 11: Saturated Zone Revision 2 Source: BSC 2003e, Figure 6.2-39. Figure 2-29. Drawdowns Observed in Boreholes Adjacent to the C-Wells Complex During the Long 2.3.5.3 September 2003 2-50 Term Pumping Test Site-Scale Permeability Anisotropy Anisotropic conditions exist if the permeability of media varies as a function of direction. Because groundwater primarily flows in fractures within the volcanic units downgradient of Yucca Mountain, and because fractures and faults occur in preferred orientations, it is possible that anisotropic conditions of horizontal permeability exist along the potential pathway of radionuclide migration in the saturated zone (BSC 2003e, Section 6.2.6). Performance of the repository could be affected by horizontal anisotropy if the permeability tensor is oriented in a north-south direction because the groundwater flow could be diverted to the south, causing any transported solutes to remain in the fractured volcanic tuff for longer distances before moving into the valley-fill alluvial aquifer (Figures 2-24 and 2-25). More southerly oriented flow directions would, therefore, reduce the length of the travel path through the alluvium to the compliance point. A reduction in the length of the flow path in the alluvium would decrease the amount of radionuclide retardation that could occur for radionuclides with greater sorption capacity in the alluvium than in fractured volcanic rock matrix. In addition, potentially limited matrix diffusion in the fractured volcanic units could lead to shorter transport times in the volcanic units relative to the alluvium. A conceptual model incorporating horizontal anisotropy in the tuff aquifer is acceptable, given that flow in the tuff aquifer generally occurs in a fracture network that exhibits a preferential north-south strike azimuth. Major faults near Yucca Mountain that have been mapped at the surface and that have been included in the site-scale hydrogeologic framework model also have a similar preferential orientation (Figure 2-20). In addition, north to north-northeast striking structural features are optimally oriented perpendicular to the direction of least principal No. 11: Saturated Zone Revision 2 horizontal compressive stress, thus promoting flow in that direction, suggesting a tendency toward dilation and potentially higher permeability (Ferrill et al. 1999, pp. 5 to 6). Evaluation of the long-term pumping tests at the C-Wells complex supports the conclusion that large-scale horizontal anisotropy of aquifer permeability may occur in the saturated zone. Results of this hydrologic evaluation (Appendix E) generally are consistent with the structural analysis of potential anisotropy and indicate anisotropy that is oriented in a north-northeast to south-southwest direction, assuming the response in borehole USW H-4 is not considered. The response in borehole USW H-4 is consistent with the effect of the Antler Wash fault being superimposed on this uniform anisotropy, resulting in a northwest to southeast anisotropy. 2.3.5.4 Hydrogeologic Characteristics of the Alluvium Derived from Nye County Testing Hydraulic testing of the alluvium has been performed at the Alluvial Testing Complex (Figure 2-26). Figure 2-30 presents a summary of the lithology in the boreholes at the Alluvial Testing Complex. One of the most important results from the Alluvial Testing Complex was the interpretation of the “huff-puff” injection-withdrawal tracer test. In this test, a tracer was added to the wellbore and briefly injected into the aquifer. After a period of time (ranging from 0.5 days to 30 days), the tracer was pumped back. The migration of the tracer during the intervening time is controlled by the natural groundwater flux. The results of this test are illustrated in Figure 2-31. Although uncertainty exists in the interpretation of such tests, using reasonable ranges of effective porosity (ranging between 5 and 30 percent), a range of specific discharges in the vicinity of the borehole can be determined. Table 2-7 presents the results of this analysis and indicates a specific discharge in the range of 1.2 to 9.4 m/year. September 2003 2-51 No. 11: Saturated Zone Source: Location of screened intervals from Questa Engineering Corporation 2002. Lithostratigraphic logs from Spengler 2001b; Spengler 2003a; Spengler 2003b. Borehole names refer to Nye County EWDP boreholes. Figure 2-30. Summary of Lithology at the Alluvial Testing Complex No. 11: Saturated Zone 2-52 Revision 2 September 2003 Table 2-7. Specific Discharges and Seepage Velocities Estimated from the Different Drift Analysis Methods as a Function of Assumed Flow Porosity Assumed Flow Porosity a Peak Arrival Analysis Late Arrival Analysis b Mean Arrival Analysis c Mean Arrival Analysis d Linked Analytical Solutions Source: BSC 2003e, Table 6.5-7. NOTE: aThe three values are approximately the lowest, expected, and highest values, respectively, of the alluvium flow porosity used in Yucca Mountain performance assessments (BSC 2001c). bTime/Volume associated with approximately 86.4 percent recovery in each test (the final recovery in the 0.5-hr rest period test, which had the lowest final recovery of any test). c Mean arrival time calculated by truncating all tracer response curves at approximately 86.4 percent recovery in each test. d Alternative mean arrival time calculated by extrapolating the tracer response curves in the 0.5-hr rest period test to 91.3 percent and truncating the response curves in the two-day rest period test to 91.3 percent recovery (the final recovery in the 30-day rest period test). No. 11: Saturated Zone Specific Discharge (m/year) / Seepage Velocity (m/year) 0.18 0.05 2.4 / 13.1 1.2 / 24.5 7.3 / 40.4 3.9 / 77.1 3.8 / 20.9 2.0 / 40.3 4.6 / 25.8 2.5 / 49.1 1.5 / 15 with a flow porosity of 0.10 and a longitudinal dispersivity of 5 m. 2-53 Revision 2 0.3 3.0 / 9.9 9.4 / 31.3 4.9 / 16.4 6.0 / 20.2 September 2003 Revision 2 Source: BSC 2003e, Figure 6.5-26. NOTE: The plots are fits of three injection-pumpback tracer tests with theoretical curves resulting from three solutions to the advection-dispersion equation for the three phases of injection, drift, and pumpback. “Plot 0” is the model fit and “Plot 1” is the data curve. The parameters used in the calculations are: flow porosity = 0.1; matrix porosity = 0.0; longitudinal dispersivity = 5.05 m; transverse dispersivity = 1.00 m; test interval thickness = 32.0 ft; tracer volume injected = 2,800 gal; chase volume injected = 22,000 gal; injection rate = 15.0 gpm; mass injected = 5.0 kg; natural gradient = 0.002 m/m; T for gradient = 20.0 m2/day; specific discharge = 1.5 m/year. The Q values for the 0-, 2-, and 30-day tests are 13.41, 11.00, and 13.50, respectively. Figure 2-31. Fitting the Injection-Pumpback Tracer Tests in Screen #1 of NC-EWDP-19D1 Using the September 2003 2-54 Linked-Analytical Solutions Method 2.3.6 Site-Scale Geochemistry: Analyses of Water Types and Mixing Hydrochemical data provide information on several important site-scale issues, including the existence and magnitude of local recharge, flow directions from the repository to downgradient locations, and the potential for mixing and dilution of groundwater that could be released from the repository. A comparison of hydrochemical and isotopic data from perched water at Yucca Mountain to data from the regional groundwater system suggests that local recharge is a component of the saturated zone waters in volcanic aquifers beneath Yucca Mountain. The data examined included uranium isotopes (234U/238U) (Figure 2-32) and major anions and cations. It is possible that shallow groundwater beneath Yucca Mountain is composed entirely of local recharge. For example, by comparing the isotopic signature of perched waters in boreholes USW UZ-14 and USW WT-24 with saturated zone groundwater obtained from boreholes to the southeast, it is apparent that these waters have a similar origin, predominately from vertical recharge through the unsaturated tuff units in the vicinity of Yucca Mountain (BSC 2003f, Section 6.7.6.6). No. 11: Saturated Zone Source: Paces et al. 2002, Figure 5. Figure 2-32. Groundwater Uranium and 234U/238U Ratios in the Vicinity of Yucca Mountain No. 11: Saturated Zone Revision 2 September 2003 2-55 Revision 2 The chloride concentrations of the groundwater identified from uranium isotopes as having originated from Yucca Mountain have been used to estimate the recharge flux through Yucca Mountain (BSC 2003f, Section 6.7.6.6). Based on the chloride data, and assuming that the chloride flux from precipitation was between one and two times its estimated present-day value, past infiltration rates ranged between 6.5 and 16.5 mm/year. These groundwaters probably infiltrated during the late Pleistocene when the climate was cooler and wetter, so the relatively high infiltration rates should be interpreted as reflecting past, rather than present-day, conditions. Despite the sometimes large distances between boreholes, differences in regional groundwater chemical and isotopic compositions are often large enough that groundwater flow paths at a regional scale can be identified with some confidence (Figure 2-10). In contrast, despite the closer borehole spacing, the compositions of groundwaters in the immediate vicinity of Yucca Mountain are often too similar to allow detailed flow paths from the repository to be identified with certainty. However, because flow paths do not cross in plan view, possible flow directions from the repository area are constrained by regional Flow Paths 6 and 2 to be dominantly south or southeastward from the repository area. Geochemical inverse models (BSC 2003f, Section 6.7.8) for borehole NC-EWDP-19D indicated that groundwater at this borehole could have originated from the area of borehole UE-25 WT#3 at the mouth of Dune Wash (as depicted by Flow Path 7), or as a result of the mixing of groundwater flowing from the vicinity of borehole USW WT-10 and local Yucca Mountain recharge (indicated schematically by small eastward-pointing arrows on Flow Path 6; Figure 2-10). An origin for NC-EWDP-19D groundwater from the Solitario Canyon area would imply groundwater from the repository area should be forced to flow southeastward toward Fortymile Wash; conversely, an origin for borehole NC-EWDP-19D groundwater from the Dune Wash area near borehole UE-25 WT#3 implies that groundwater from the repository area flows along a more southerly trajectory. 2.3.7 Site Scale Groundwater Flow Model and Results Site-Scale Groundwater Flow Model Development 2.3.7.1 Development of the site-scale groundwater flow model requires the generation of a computational grid, the identification of the hydrogeologic unit at each node on the grid, the specification of boundary conditions, the specification of recharge values, and the assignment of nodal hydrogeologic properties. Each of these elements of model development is discussed in this section. The computational grid developed for the site-scale saturated zone flow and transport model was formulated so that the horizontal grid is coincident with the grid cells in the regional-scale flow model. The depth of the computational grid is approximately the same as the depth of the regional-scale saturated zone flow model. The computational grid begins at the water table surface and extends to a depth of 2,750 m below sea level. The vertical grid spacing was established to provide the resolution necessary to represent flow and transport along critical flow and transport pathways in the saturated zone. A finer grid spacing was adopted for shallower portions of the model, while a progressively coarser grid was adopted for deeper portions of the aquifer. The vertical grid spacing ranged from 10 m near the water table to 550 m at the bottom of the model domain. The vertical dimension of the model September 2003 2-56 No. 11: Saturated Zone Revision 2 domain was divided into 11 zones, and constant vertical grid spacing was adopted in each of these 11 zones. In total, 38 model layers were included in the vertical dimension. A three-dimensional representation of the base-case computational grid is provided in Figure 2-33. The grid is truncated at the water table surface, which is at 1,200 m in the north and 700 m in the south. The grid extends from Universal Transverse Mercator coordinates (Zone 11, North American Datum 1927) 533340E to 563340E in the east-west direction, and from 4046780N to 4091780N north-south direction. This representation of the computation grid illustrates the complex three-dimensional spatial relation among units within the site-scale model area. Source: BSC 2003c, Figure 6.5-2. correspond to the units shown in Figure 2-21. NOTE: Shading represents hydrogeologic features included in the model. View (500 m, 3x elevation) shows node points colored by hydrogeologic unit values from the hydrogeologic framework model. The units shown here September 2003 Figure 2-33. Three-Dimensional Representation of the Computation Grid 2-57 No. 11: Saturated Zone Revision 2 Site-Scale Groundwater Flow Model Comparisons to Observations 2.3.7.2 The results of the calibrated site-scale saturated zone flow and transport model have been compared to direct and indirect indicators of groundwater flow processes. These analyses include a comparison between: (1) the observed and predicted water-level data, (2) calibrated and observed permeability data, (3) boundary fluxes predicted by the regional-scale flow model and the calibrated site-scale saturated zone flow model, (4) the observed and predicted gradients between the carbonate aquifer and overlying volcanic aquifers, (5) hydrochemical data and particle pathways predicted by the model, and (6) thermal data. Predicted and Observed Water-Level Elevations–Predicted and observed heads from the site-scale groundwater flow model are illustrated in Figure 2-34. As in the case of the regional model, the comparison is favorable in areas of low hydraulic gradient, but becomes more uncertain in areas of steep gradients. In the areas downgradient from Yucca Mountain, the match is acceptable. Since the site-scale flow model was calibrated, a number of boreholes have been installed as part of the Nye County Early Warning Drilling Program. These new boreholes include those installed at new locations and those completed at depths different from those previously available at existing locations. Comparison of water levels observed in the new Nye County Early Warning Drilling Program boreholes with water levels predicted by the calibrated site-scale flow model at these new locations and depths offered an opportunity to validate the site-scale flow model using new data not used for developing and calibrating the flow model. Predicted and observed water levels are provided in Table 2-8. Examination of the residuals (Table 2-8) indicates that uncertainty associated with the predicted water levels depends on the location of the borehole within the site-scale model domain. Residuals generally are higher in the western portion of the Nye County Early Warning Drilling Program area. The gradients are steeper in this area, and the calibrated model generally is less capable of predicting these steeper gradients. The observed residuals tend to improve at boreholes located further to the east. For example, residuals in the general area of NC-Washburn-1X, NC-EWDP-4, and NC-EWDP-5 are low. These boreholes are in the flow path inferred by hydrochemical data, and therefore these additional water-level data support the capability of the site-scale flow model to predict water levels in this portion of the flow path. September 2003 2-58 No. 11: Saturated Zone Source: Based on BSC 2003c, Figures 6.4-5 and 6.4-6. NOTE: Upper figure represents observed hydraulic heads; lower figure represents predicted hydraulic heads and head residuals (predicted minus observed heads). Figure 2-34. Comparison of Observed and Predicted Hydraulic Heads in the Site-Scale Groundwater Flow Model No. 11: Saturated Zone Revision 2 September 2003 2-59 Table 2-8. Comparison of Observed and Predicted Water Levels at Nye County Early Warning Drilling Program Boreholes Site Name NC-EWDP-1DX, deep NC-EWDP-1DX, shallow NC-EWDP-1S, P1 NC-EWDP-1S, P2 NC-EWDP-2DB NC-EWDP-2D NC-EWDP-3D NC-EWDP-3S, P2 NC-EWDP-3S, P3 NC-EWDP-5SB NC-EWDP-9SX, P1 NC-EWDP-9SX, P2 NC-EWDP-9SX, P4 NC-Washburn-1X NC-EWDP-4PA NC-EWDP-4PB NC-EWDP-7S — Zone 1 NC-EWDP-7S — Zone 2 NC-EWDP-7S — Zone 3 NC-EWDP-7S — Zone 4 NC-EWDP-12PA NC-EWDP-12PB NC-EWDP-12PC NC-EWDP-15P NC-EWDP-19P NC-EWDP-19D NC-EWDP-16P NC-EWDP-27P NC-EWDP-28P Source: BSC 2003c, Table 7.1-2. Permeability–For model validation, the permeabilities estimated during calibration of the sitescale saturated zone flow and transport model were compared to permeabilities determined from aquifer test data from the Yucca Mountain area and elsewhere at the Nevada Test Site (BSC 2003c, Section 7). The logarithms of permeability estimated during calibration of the model were compared to the mean logarithms of permeability determined from aquifer test data from Yucca Mountain (Figure 2-35) and to data from elsewhere at the Nevada Test Site (Figure 2-36). For most geologic units, calibrated permeabilities were within the 95 percent confidence limits of the mean permeabilities estimated from the data. Given the available data, the agreement between the model-calibrated value and the estimated site permeability value for the carbonate aquifer is considered to provide an adequate basis for confidence in the validity and representativeness of the site-scale flow model. No. 11: Saturated Zone x (m) 536768 536768 536771 536771 547800 547744 541273 541269 541269 555676 539039 539039 539039 551465 553167 553167 539638 539638 539638 539638 536951 536951 536951 544848 549329 549317 545648 544936 545723 y (m) Observed Head (m) 748.8 4062502 786.8 4062502 787.1 4062498 786.8 4062498 713.7 4057195 706.1 4057164 718.3 4059444 719.8 4059445 719.4 4059445 723.6 4058229 766.7 4061004 767.3 4061004 766.8 4061004 714.6 4057563 717.9 4056766 723.6 4056766 818.1 4064323 786.4 4064323 756.6 4064323 740.2 4064323 722.9 4060814 723.0 4060814 720.7 4060814 722.5 4058158 707.5 4058292 712.8 4058270 730.9 4064247 730.3 4065266 729.7 4062372 2-60 Revision 2 Residual Error (m) Modeled Head (m) 13.9 762.7 -30.1 756.7 -19.8 767.3 -19.5 767.3 4.3 717.0 3.3 709.2 -14.6 703.7 -17.3 702.5 -16.8 702.6 -6.6 718.0 -35.0 731.7 -35.6 731.7 -35.1 731.7 -0.1 714.5 -2.4 715.5 -8.1 715.5 -48.5 769.6 -16.8 769.6 13.0 769.6 29.4 769.6 -17.6 705.3 -17.7 705.3 -16.4 704.3 -11.5 711.0 5.7 713.2 0.4 713.2 -19.9 711.0 -17.1 713.2 -16.5 713.2 September 2003 Revision 2 Source: Based on BSC 2001a, Figure 14. Figure 2-35. Comparison of Calibrated and Observed Permeabilities from Yucca Mountain Pump Test Data in the Site-Scale Groundwater Flow Model Source: BSC 2001a, Figure 15. Figure 2-36. Comparison of Calibrated and Observed Permeabilities from Nevada Test Site Pump Test Data in the Site-Scale Groundwater Flow Model September 2003 2-61 No. 11: Saturated Zone Revision 2 With the exception of the calibrated values for the upper volcanic aquifer, the calibrated permeabilities generally are consistent with most of the permeability data from Yucca Mountain and elsewhere at the Nevada Test Site. A discrepancy exists between the calibrated permeability for the Tram Tuff and the mean permeability derived from the cross-hole tests. However, permeabilities measured for the Tram Tuff of the Crater Flat Group may have been enhanced by the presence of a breccia zone in the unit at boreholes UE-25 c#2 and UE-25 c#3 (Geldon et al. 1997, Figure 3; BSC 2003e). The permeability data obtained from single-hole and cross-hole testing at the Alluvial Testing Complex also compare acceptably with the permeabilities predicted in the site-scale flow model. Single-well hydraulic testing of the saturated alluvium in borehole NC-EWDP-19D1 was conducted between July 2000 and November 2000. During this testing, a single-well test of the alluvial aquifer to a depth of 247.5 m below land surface at the NC-EWDP-19D1 resulted in a permeability measurement of 2.7 × 10-13 m2 (BSC 2003c; Table 7.2-1). A cross-hole hydraulic test was also conducted at the Alluvial Testing Complex in January 2002. During this test, borehole NC-EWDP-19D1 was pumped in the open-alluvium section, while water-level measurements were made in the two adjacent boreholes. The intrinsic permeability measured in this test for the tested interval is 2.7 × 10-12 m2. The calibrated permeability for the Alluvial Uncertainty Zone was 3.2 × 10-12 m2. Because the cross-hole tests intercepted a larger volume of rock, they are considered to be more representative of the water-transmitting capability at this location, and therefore they are more appropriate for comparison with the calibrated permeability values. Boundary Fluxes–A comparison of fluxes at the boundary of the site-scale model domain predicted by the regional-scale model and the calibrated site-scale saturated zone flow and transport model was used to further validate the site-scale model (CRWMS M&O 2000a, Section 3.4.2). Volumetric fluxes computed along the boundary by the two models match acceptably well (Table 2-4). The total fluxes across the northern boundary computed by the regional and site-scale models were 6.0 × 106 m3/year and 5.3 × 106 m3/year, respectively. The boundary fluxes computed along the east side of the site-scale saturated zone flow model domain also indicate a good match. The total fluxes across the eastern boundary computed by the regional and site-scale models were 1.8 × 107 and 1.6 × 107 m3/year, respectively. The match is particularly good along the lower thrust area where both models predict large fluxes across the boundary. Both models also predicted small fluxes across the remainder of the eastern boundary. The effect of the small differences between the two flux predictions on the specific discharge is within the uncertainty range used. The southern boundary flux is simply a sum of the other boundary fluxes plus recharge. Fluxes across the southern boundary computed by the two models indicate a relatively good match. The difference in the fluxes computed by the regional and site-scale models across the southern boundary is approximately 2.9 × 107 and 2.3 × 107 m3/year, respectively (Table 2-4). Upward Hydraulic Gradient–An upward hydraulic gradient between the lower carbonate aquifer and the overlying volcanic rocks has been observed in the vicinity of Yucca Mountain. Principal evidence for this upward gradient is provided by data from boreholes drilled into the upper part of the carbonate aquifer (UE-25 p#1 and NC-EWDP-2DB). Hydraulic head measurements in borehole UE-25 p#1 indicate that the head in the carbonate aquifer is about 752 m, which is about 21 m higher than the head measured in this borehole in the overlying September 2003 2-62 No. 11: Saturated Zone Revision 2 volcanic rocks. The head in the carbonate aquifer at this borehole was estimated as part of the model calibration process. The increasing head with depth was preserved during model calibration, although the head difference was only 12.73 m (BSC 2003c, Table 16). The difference in predicted and observed upward hydraulic gradient values at this location results, in part, because the constant vertical head boundary conditions imposed on the lateral boundaries of the model domain constrained the vertical groundwater flow and gradients within the model interior (CRWMS M&O 2000a, Sections 6.7.11 and 6.1.2). Hydrochemical Data Trends–To provide further validation of the site-scale saturated zone flow and transport model, flow paths (Figure 2-37) predicted by the calibrated model were compared with those estimated using groundwater chemical and isotopic data (Figure 2-10). Flow paths predicted by the calibrated site-scale saturated zone flow model were generated using the particle-tracking capability of the Finite Element Heat and Mass Transfer Code (Zyvoloski et al. 1997) by placing particles at different locations beneath the repository and running the model to trace the paths of these particles across a range of horizontal anisotropies. Comparison of the flow paths indicate that most of the particles travel between Flow Paths 2 and 6, and they roughly follow the trajectory of Flow Path 2 through the alluvium along the west side of Fortymile Wash. These particle trajectories are permitted by the constraints provided by the groundwater geochemical and isotopic data. Thermal Modeling–Temperature measurements can be used as an indirect indicator of groundwater flow. Although uncertainty exists in the interpretation of the thermal anomalies in that they could result from thermal properties (notably thermal conductivity), heat flux, or overburden variability, and not the result of areal or vertical groundwater flux, an acceptable comparison of observed and simulated temperatures for the site-scale flow model has been obtained. The temperature data used in the thermal modeling are taken from temperature profiles measured within the model domain. The temperature data were extracted at 200-m intervals from these temperature profiles, and a total of 94 observations from 35 boreholes were obtained. Coupled thermal modeling and conduction-only modeling have been completed to evaluate the consistency of the saturated zone flow model with the thermal observations. The details related to this thermal modeling are presented in Appendix D. Given the uncertainties associated with interpreting the thermal anomalies, the results presented in Appendix D provide a reasonable comparison. September 2003 2-63 No. 11: Saturated Zone Source: BSC 2003c, Figure 7.3-1b. NOTE: Black lines are predicted flow paths; red lines with arrowhead are flow paths inferred from geochemical data (Figure 2-11) Figure 2-37. Predicted Groundwater Flow Path Trajectories and Flow Paths Inferred from Geochemistry No. 11: Saturated Zone Revision 2 September 2003 2-64 Revision 2 Model Results 2.3.7.3 Using the calibrated flow model, specific discharge was estimated for a nominal fluid path leaving the repository area and traveling 0 to 5 km, 5 to 20 km, and 20 to 30 km. The specific discharge simulated by the flow model for each segment of the flow path was determined using the median travel time for a group of particles released beneath the repository. Specific discharge values of 0.67, 2.3, and 2.5 m/year were obtained for the three flow path segments, respectively. The first segment reflects flow in the tuff aquifers, and the last segment reflects flow in the alluvial aquifer. An expert elicitation panel was convened prior to the site recommendation (CRWMS M&O 1998, Figure 3-2e), and it estimated a specific discharge of 0.71 m/year for the 0-to-5-km segment. Thus, the specific discharge values predicted by the model and the expert elicitation panel were similar. In addition, the lower end of the range of inferred specific discharges from the single-well tracer-injection test conducted in the alluvial aquifer (1.2 and 9.4 m/year) acceptably reproduces the median-modeled specific discharge at this location (about 2.3 m/year). The particle-tracking capability of the Finite Element Heat and Mass Transfer Code (Zyvoloski et al. 1997) was used to illustrate flow paths predicted by the calibrated site-scale saturated zone flow and transport model. One hundred particles were distributed uniformly over the area of the repository and allowed to migrate until they reached the model boundary (Figure 2-38). The pathways leave the repository and generally travel south-southeasterly to the 18-km compliance boundary. The flow paths from the water table beneath the repository to the accessible environment directly affect breakthrough curves and associated radionuclide travel times. Because the flow paths and water table transition from volcanic tuffs to alluvium, flow path uncertainty directly affects the length of flow in the volcanic tuffs and in the alluvium. Uncertainty in flow paths is affected by permeability anisotropy of the volcanic tuffs. Large-scale anisotropy and heterogeneity were implemented in the saturated zone site-scale flow model through direct incorporation of known hydraulic features, faults, and fractures. Detailed discussion of the uncertainty in flow path lengths in the tuff aquifers prior to intersecting the alluvial aquifers is presented in Appendix G. September 2003 2-65 No. 11: Saturated Zone Source: Based on BSC 2003c, Figure 6.6-3. Figure 2-38. Predicted Saturated Zone Particle Trajectories from Yucca Mountain No. 11: Saturated Zone Revision 2 September 2003 2-66 Revision 2 2.4 SUMMARY The regional and site-scale groundwater flow representations indicate that groundwater in the shallow tuff aquifers flows south-southeasterly from the repository and parallels Fortymile Wash to the point where it discharges from the shallow tuff aquifers and mixes with other groundwater in the alluvium of the Amargosa Desert. The flow paths are acceptably constrained by the available hydrogeologic and geochemical information, and the location of the tuff-alluvium contact is also acceptably constrained by recent drilling and geophysics conducted by Nye County. The exact location where groundwater at the water-table enters the alluvium is uncertain. This uncertainty is due, in part, to uncertainty in the flow paths, which is due to uncertainty in anisotropy and in the tuff-alluvium contact. The uncertainty in the tuff-alluvium contact is included in the uncertainty of radionuclide transport times along the likely paths of radionuclide migration in the saturated zone. The average flow rate in the alluvium, as defined by the specific discharge distribution in the alluvium, has been independently evaluated to be about 2.5 m/year, with a range of about 1.2 to 9.4 m/year. To account for uncertainty in the hydraulic properties and specific discharge, a range of specific discharge values was used in the assessment of repository performance. The values ranged from a factor of one-third to a factor of three times the median specific discharge. The regional and site-scale groundwater flow models have been calibrated with potentiometric, recharge, discharge, and hydraulic characteristic observations. In addition, these flow models have been independently corroborated with geochemical observations (conservative tracers and stable isotopes), thermal observations, and tracer test determinations of specific discharge. September 2003 2-67 No. 11: Saturated Zone INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK 2-68 No. 11: Saturated Zone Revision 2 September 2003 Revision 2 3. SATURATED ZONE RADIONUCLIDE TRANSPORT If radionuclides are released in the aqueous phase from the repository and migrate through the unsaturated zone as dissolved species or sorbed onto colloids, they will enter the groundwater flow regime in the saturated zone. Released radionuclides would be expected to travel along the groundwater flow paths described in Section 2 (Figure 2-38). The rate of radionuclide transport is a function of key radionuclide transport processes and parameters such as effective porosity, matrix diffusion, hydrodynamic dispersion, and radionuclide sorption (i.e., retardation). The transport of radionuclides as solute is affected by advection, diffusion, and dispersion, and for reactive constituents, sorption. The transport of radionuclides sorbed onto colloids is affected by filtering (where colloids with diameters greater than the pore openings are filtered by the medium) and by attachment-detachment processes. Mixing and dilution of radionuclides in the groundwater affects the concentration of radionuclides released to the environment. This section presents observations and test data that provide the conceptual basis and understanding of radionuclide transport through the saturated zone. 3.1 INTRODUCTION Processes relevant to the performance of the saturated zone barrier at Yucca Mountain are described conceptually in Figure 3-1. Advection, matrix diffusion, dispersion, and sorption processes occur at different scales within the saturated zone. The effect and importance of these processes differ in the fractured tuff units and the porous alluvium. In fractured tuffs, advective transport occurs within fractures; therefore, the effective fracture spacing and porosity are important for describing the advective velocity of dissolved constituents. Major flowing fracture zones (termed flowing intervals) are generally spaced on the order of meters to tens of meters apart, while fractures themselves may be more closely spaced and have sub-millimeter apertures. Radionuclides that are transported through the fractures may diffuse into the surrounding matrix or sorb onto the fracture surfaces. If the radionuclides diffuse into the matrix, they may also be sorbed within the matrix of the rock. In the alluvium, advective transport occurs through the porous matrix. Because the effective porosity of the alluvium is considerably greater than that of the fractured tuff, the transport velocity in the alluvium is greatly reduced in comparison to that of the tuff (even though the specific discharge in the alluvium is about a factor of three greater than that of the tuff; see Section 2.3.7). Radionuclides transported through the porous alluvium can also sorb onto minerals within the alluvium. September 2003 3-1 No. 11: Saturated Zone Revision 2 Figure 3-1. Conceptual Model of Radionuclide Transport Processes in the Saturated Zone In addition to the advective, diffusive, and retardation mechanisms, small-scale heterogeneities in aquifer characteristics, which result in a small-scale variability in advective velocities, can effectively disperse the radionuclides as they migrate through the saturated zone. This dispersive phenomenon tends to allow some radionuclides released at a particular point to migrate either faster than or slower than the average velocity along the groundwater flow trajectory. Finally, although it is possible for groundwater beneath Yucca Mountain to mix with other groundwater as they flow southward towards Amargosa Valley, it is apparent that the likely flow paths remain constrained over an aquifer width of a few kilometers. At the compliance point, located about 18 km south of Yucca Mountain, the reasonably maximally exposed individual uses well water that is extracted from the aquifer at a rate of 3.7 × 106 m3/year (3,000 acreft/ year). The hypothetical well is located in the center of the groundwater flow trajectories to maximize the concentration of any dissolved radionuclides that may be contained within the groundwater. The pumping discharge is likely to extract all of the radionuclides in the groundwater at the well location, plus mix with other groundwater that does not contain any radionuclides. Th